T-Mobile US, Inc.

TMUS · Communication Services · · USD

181.52 USD

0.00 (-3.46%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 40

Momentum 41

Fundamental 48

Macro 64

Liquidity 56

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	40.4	10%
Momentum	40.7	5%
Fundamental	47.5	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	56.2	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	181.52
Stop Loss	172.00 (5.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	191.04 (+5.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	200.56 (+10.5%)

ATR(14)	4.76 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	9.52
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	70.8	+0.83
Momentum	40.7	-0.37
Quality	37.0	-0.52
Composite	49.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.97 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	19.0	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	3.5	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	2.2%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

151.90

Market Price

181.52

Upside

-16.3%

Margin of Safety	-19.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	39,835,313,238
Terminal Value PV	123,098,838,431
Total Enterprise Value	162,934,151,669

Assumptions

Base FCF	8,212,373,869
Growth Rate (5yr)	7.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

33.23%

Full Kelly

16.61%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 51/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

50.51

RSI(14)

1.0486

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-2.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (34d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-0.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	50.51	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.0486	BULLISH
Ma Cross	180.5 / 192.44	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.17x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	247.25
Bollinger Upper	186.91
SMA(200)	192.44
SMA(50)	180.5
SMA(20)	180.86
Current Price	181.52
Bollinger Lower	174.82
52-Week Low	165.66
ATR(14)	4.76

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.56x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	182.54	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	179.29	Base line
Senkou A	180.91	Leading span A
Senkou B	181.21	Leading span B
Cloud	180.91 – 181.21	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	181.52	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	171.72	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH