T-Mobile US, Inc.

TMUS · Communication Services · · USD

185.35 USD

+0.00 (2.13%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 25

Momentum 49

Fundamental 48

Macro 65

Liquidity 43

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	24.7	10%
Momentum	48.9	5%
Fundamental	47.5	40%
Macro	65.2	15%
Liquidity	43.0	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	185.19
Stop Loss	173.77 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	196.61 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	208.03 (+12.3%)

ATR(14)	5.71 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	11.42
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	69.6	+0.78
Momentum	48.9	-0.04
Quality	38.7	-0.45
Composite	52.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.97 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	19.7	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	3.6	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	2.2%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

167.19

Market Price

185.35

Upside

-9.8%

Margin of Safety	-10.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	42,608,713,502
Terminal Value PV	138,326,047,045
Total Enterprise Value	180,934,760,547

Assumptions

Base FCF	8,155,494,747
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

28.59%

Full Kelly

14.29%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

53.54

RSI(14)

-1.1848

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-16.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-7.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	53.54	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.1848	BULLISH
Ma Cross	185.65 / 200.92	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.08x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	261.56
Bollinger Upper	191.69
SMA(200)	200.92
SMA(50)	185.65
SMA(20)	181.32
Current Price	185.35
Bollinger Lower	170.95
52-Week Low	165.66
ATR(14)	5.71

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.15x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.56x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	177.81	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	177.81	Base line
Senkou A	177.81	Leading span A
Senkou B	182.60	Leading span B
Cloud	177.81 – 182.60	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	185.19	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	181.45	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL