T-Mobile US, Inc.
TMUS · Communication Services · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
32
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
31
Momentum
36
Fundamental
46
Macro
22
Liquidity
67
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 31.3 | 30% |
| Momentum | 36.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 46.5 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 66.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 160.59 |
| Stop Loss | 148.61 (7.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 172.57 (+7.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 184.55 (+14.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.99 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 11.98 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 76.2 | +1.05 | |
| Momentum | 36.5 | -0.54 | |
| Quality | 38.2 | -0.47 | |
| Composite | 50.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.87
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.5 | 18.0 | -14% below |
| P/B Ratio | 3.0 | 3.0 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% | 1.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
161.19
vs
Market Price
160.59
Upside
+0.4%
| Margin of Safety | +0.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 42,041,169,627 |
| Terminal Value PV | 128,699,214,423 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 170,740,384,050 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 8,787,725,249 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
18.21%
Full Kelly
9.1%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 32/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
52.75
RSI(14)
-2.1304
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
28
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-3.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic) |
| RS New High | No (45d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 52.75 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -2.1304 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 165.26 / 184.98 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.0x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 224.75 |
| Bollinger Upper | 164.06 |
| SMA(200) | 184.98 |
| SMA(50) | 165.26 |
| SMA(20) | 154.05 |
| Current Price | 160.59 |
| Bollinger Lower | 144.03 |
| 52-Week Low | 143.75 |
| ATR(14) | 5.99 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.51x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 153.55 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 157.78 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 155.66 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 166.81 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 155.66 – 166.81 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 160.59 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 161.73 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
1 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 144.03 – 164.06 | KC: 143.9 – 164.19
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 10 | |
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 10 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 11 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 154.68
Anchor: 2026-10-28 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/TMUS
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 170.11B |
| P/E (TTM) | 15.49 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.03 |
| EPS | 10.37 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.4% |
| Profit Margin | 12.0% |
| ROE | 19.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 211.32 |
| Current Ratio | 0.91 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.38 |
Trading Data
160.59
Open
160.59
Day High
160.59
Day Low
7.56M
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)