Tyson Foods, Inc.
TSN · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
57
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
53
Momentum
49
Fundamental
69
Macro
24
Liquidity
65
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 53.4 | 10% |
| Momentum | 48.6 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 69.2 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 64.9 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 58.70 |
| Stop Loss | 56.16 (4.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 61.24 (+4.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 63.78 (+8.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.27 (2.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.54 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 64.0 | +0.56 | |
| Momentum | 48.6 | -0.06 | |
| Quality | 25.1 | -1.00 | |
| Composite | 45.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.14
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 37.1 | 18.0 | +106% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
20.00
vs
Market Price
60.11
Upside
-66.7%
| Margin of Safety | -200.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,502,923,913 |
| Terminal Value PV | 4,132,504,359 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 5,635,428,272 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 365,203,089 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
37.43%
Full Kelly
18.72%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
65.05
RSI(14)
1.462
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
58
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+8.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 65.05 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.462 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 53.85 / 58.86 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 69.48 |
| Bollinger Upper | 59.97 |
| SMA(200) | 58.86 |
| SMA(50) | 53.85 |
| SMA(20) | 56.16 |
| Current Price | 60.11 |
| Bollinger Lower | 52.36 |
| 52-Week Low | 49.96 |
| ATR(14) | 1.27 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 58.16 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 55.88 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 57.02 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 55.63 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 55.63 – 57.02 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 58.70 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 51.89 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 52.36 – 59.97 | KC: 54.36 – 57.97
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 8 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 57.87
Anchor: 2025-11-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+1.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/TSN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 21.15B |
| P/E (TTM) | 37.10 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.17 |
| EPS | 1.62 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -0.1% |
| Profit Margin | 1.0% |
| ROE | 3.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 44.02 |
| Current Ratio | 1.43 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.37 |
Trading Data
60.11
Open
60.11
Day High
60.11
Day Low
5.70M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)