Tyson Foods, Inc.

TSN · Consumer Defensive · · USD

51.42 USD

0.00 (-0.66%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 33

Trend & RS 28

Momentum 35

Fundamental 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 65

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	33.3	10%
Trend & RS	27.5	10%
Momentum	35.0	5%
Fundamental	44.4	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	65.2	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	51.42
Stop Loss	48.42 (5.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	54.42 (+5.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	57.42 (+11.7%)

ATR(14)	1.50 (2.9%)
Risk per Share	3.00
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	67.7	+0.71
Momentum	31.8	-0.73
Quality	25.1	-1.00
Composite	41.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	31.7	18.0	+76% above
P/B Ratio	1.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

20.00

Market Price

51.42

Upside

-61.1%

Margin of Safety	-157.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,876,312,651
Terminal Value PV	5,159,190,131
Total Enterprise Value	7,035,502,782

Assumptions

Base FCF	455,934,709
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.25%

Full Kelly

15.62%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

28.65

RSI(14)

-1.2003

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-16.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-14.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	28.65	OVERSOLD
Macd	-1.2003	BEARISH
Ma Cross	57.11 / 59.41	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	1.9x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	69.48
Bollinger Upper	59.73
SMA(200)	59.41
SMA(50)	57.11
SMA(20)	55.95
Current Price	51.42
Bollinger Lower	52.18
52-Week Low	50.56
ATR(14)	1.5

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.04x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Stopping Volume	2.37x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-09-04	Normal	1.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	53.93	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	55.39	Base line
Senkou A	54.66	Leading span A
Senkou B	56.58	Leading span B
Cloud	54.66 – 56.58	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	51.42	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	57.42	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH