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The Trade Desk, Inc.

TTD · Communication Services · · USD
14.43 USD
0.00 (-4.37%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

58
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 16
Momentum 19
Fundamental 83
Macro 64
Liquidity 48
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 10%
Trend & RS 15.8 10%
Momentum 19.4 5%
Fundamental 83.3 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 47.9 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 14.43
Stop Loss 12.83 (11.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 16.03 (+11.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 17.63 (+22.2%)
ATR(14) 0.80 (5.5%)
Risk per Share 1.60
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 75.6 +1.02
Momentum 19.4 -1.22
Quality 44.4 -0.23
Composite 46.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 10.43 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 17.2 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 2.8 3.0 Inline

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
9.38
vs
Market Price
14.43
Upside
-35.0%
Margin of Safety -53.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,182,344,885
Terminal Value PV2,821,305,065
Total Enterprise Value4,003,649,950

Assumptions

Base FCF286,790,492
Growth Rate (5yr)3.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
37.84%
Full Kelly
18.92%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
46.48
RSI(14)
-0.6537
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

2
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-32.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High No (61d since high)
Sector Outperformance -30.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 46.48 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.6537 BULLISH
Ma Cross 16.58 / 25.03 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.17x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High56.39
Bollinger Upper14.81
SMA(200)25.03
SMA(50)16.58
SMA(20)13.71
Current Price14.43
Bollinger Lower12.6
52-Week Low12.83
ATR(14)0.8

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.76x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.17x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 14.12 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 16.19 Base line
Senkou A 15.15 Leading span A
Senkou B 16.68 Leading span B
Cloud 15.15 – 16.68 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 14.43 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 18.04 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 12.6 – 14.81  |  KC: 12.74 – 14.67

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 8

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 13.73 Anchor: 2026-08-07 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +5.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/TTD

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap6.78B
P/E (TTM)17.18
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.77
EPS0.84

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth3.0%
Profit Margin13.6%
ROE15.4%
Debt/Equity16.86
Current Ratio1.72
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.00

Trading Data

14.43
Open
14.43
Day High
14.43
Day Low
25.54M
Volume (1.2x avg)

Recent News (8)

Institutional Investors Move Markets. Here’s How to Read Their Signs.
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-09-07
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TTD Stock Declines As Wall Street Splits — Rosenblatt Sees Cost Relief, Jefferies Flags Top-Line Risk From 15% Job Cuts
Stocktwits · 2026-09-04
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Barrons.com · 2026-09-04
Why The Trade Desk Stock Fell 5.7% Today
Motley Fool · 2026-09-04
Trade Desk Layoffs Follow Disappointing Financial Reports, Stock Declines
MediaPost · 2026-09-04
Trade Desk Falls 4% on 15% Workforce Cut; AppLovin Ascends 3%, Magnite Pulls Back
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-04

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —