S&P 500 7412.84 +0.19%
NASDAQ 26274.12 +0.10%
TASI 11166.83 +0.08%
Oil (WTI) 101.05 +3.04%
Oil (Brent) 106.82 +2.50%
VIX 18.85 +2.56%
Gold 4709.30 -0.41%
USD/SAR 3.75 +0.01%

The Trade Desk, Inc.

TTD · Communication Services · · USD
21.52 USD
0.00 (-6.68%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 11:51 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

31
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 16
Momentum 21
Fundamental 78
Macro 65
Liquidity 47
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 20%
Trend & RS 15.8 30%
Momentum 21.3 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 65.1 20%
Liquidity 46.8 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 21.52
Stop Loss 18.68 (13.2%)
Target 1 (1:1) 24.36 (+13.2%)
Target 2 (2:1) 27.20 (+26.4%)
ATR(14) 1.42 (6.6%)
Risk per Share 2.84
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 59.3 +0.37
Momentum 21.3 -1.15
Quality 45.5 -0.18
Composite 42.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 24.4 18.0 +36% above
P/B Ratio 4.1 3.0 Above

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
16.40
vs
Market Price
21.52
Upside
-23.8%
Margin of Safety -31.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,786,758,696
Terminal Value PV5,924,581,388
Total Enterprise Value7,711,340,084

Assumptions

Base FCF330,956,285
Growth Rate (5yr)11.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
17.02%
Full Kelly
8.51%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 31/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
40.39
RSI(14)
-0.0336
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

2
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-27.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High No (46d since high)
Sector Outperformance -17.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 40.39 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.0336 BEARISH
Ma Cross 23.69 / 39.83 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.13x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High91.45
Bollinger Upper25.15
SMA(200)39.83
SMA(50)23.69
SMA(20)23.27
Current Price21.52
Bollinger Lower21.39
52-Week Low19.74
ATR(14)1.42

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 1.02x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 0.81x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 2.24x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Stopping Volume 2.15x High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply
2026-05-11 Normal 1.13x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 22.80 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 22.30 Base line
Senkou A 22.55 Leading span A
Senkou B 26.32 Leading span B
Cloud 22.55 – 26.32 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 21.52 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 22.21 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 1 bars Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 21.39 – 25.15  |  KC: 21.28 – 25.26

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 9
Regular Bullish RSI 22

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 22.95 Anchor: 2026-04-09 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -6.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/TTD

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap10.12B
P/E (TTM)24.45
Forward P/EN/A
P/B4.12
EPS0.88

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth11.8%
Profit Margin14.6%
ROE16.7%
Debt/Equity17.26
Current Ratio1.68
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.10

Trading Data

21.52
Open
21.52
Day High
21.52
Day Low
21.68M
Volume (1.0x avg)

Recent News (8)

TTD Q1 Deep Dive: AI Strategy, Macro Headwinds Shape Mixed Quarter for The Trade Desk
StockStory · 2026-05-12
US Equity Indexes Advance, Treasury Yields Rise With Crude Oil as Trump Explores Options to Tame Iran
MT Newswires · 2026-05-11
S&P 500, Nasdaq Reach New Peaks as Traders Track US-Iran Conflict
MT Newswires · 2026-05-11
Stocks Settle Higher on Strong Earnings
Barchart · 2026-05-11
US Equity Markets End Higher Despite Renewed US-Iran Tensions
MT Newswires · 2026-05-11
Equities Rise Intraday, Oil Jumps as Markets Montior Middle East Developments
MT Newswires · 2026-05-11
HSBC cuts Trade Desk rating on agency fallout and structural headwinds
Investing.com · 2026-05-11
US Equity Indexes Mixed, Crude Oil Rises With Treasury Yields as Iran Ceasefire on 'Massive Life Support'
MT Newswires · 2026-05-11

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —