S&P 500 7444.25 +0.58%
NASDAQ 26402.34 +1.20%
TASI 11026.19 +0.06%
Oil (WTI) 101.58 +0.55%
Oil (Brent) 106.35 +0.68%
VIX 17.84 -0.17%
Gold 4700.20 -0.14%
USD/SAR 3.75 +0.00%

Texas Instruments Incorporated

TXN · Technology · · USD
306.34 USD
+0.00 (3.78%)
● Updated 2026-05-14 12:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

85
/ 100
Technical 80
Trend & RS 96
Momentum 100
Fundamental 78
Macro 72
Liquidity 61
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 80.0 20%
Trend & RS 96.4 30%
Momentum 100.0 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 71.8 20%
Liquidity 61.4 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 306.34
Stop Loss 287.24 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1) 325.44 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1) 344.54 (+12.5%)
ATR(14) 9.55 (3.1%)
Risk per Share 19.10
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 100.0 +2.00
Quality 87.6 +1.51
Composite 62.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 52.4 28.0 +87% above
P/B Ratio 16.6 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.9% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
142.91
vs
Market Price
306.34
Upside
-53.3%
Margin of Safety -114.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)27,629,026,751
Terminal Value PV102,431,367,292
Total Enterprise Value130,060,394,043

Assumptions

Base FCF4,259,234,050
Growth Rate (5yr)18.6%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
54.28%
Full Kelly
27.14%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 85/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.1%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
79.94
RSI(14)
21.4656
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

90
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+28.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance +4.2% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 79.94 OVERBOUGHT
Macd 21.4656 BULLISH
Ma Cross 226.09 / 194.34 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.83x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High309.32
Bollinger Upper320.33
SMA(200)194.34
SMA(50)226.09
SMA(20)269.4
Current Price306.34
Bollinger Lower218.46
52-Week Low152.73
ATR(14)9.55

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-07 Normal 0.77x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 0.98x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.03x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12 Normal 0.71x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13 Normal 0.83x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 292.23 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 257.22 Base line
Senkou A 274.72 Leading span A
Senkou B 246.64 Leading span B
Cloud 246.64 – 274.72 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 306.34 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 207.84 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 218.46 – 320.33  |  KC: 253.23 – 285.56

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 209.81 Anchor: 2025-11-20 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +46.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/TXN

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap278.80B
P/E (TTM)52.37
Forward P/EN/A
P/B16.62
EPS5.85

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth18.6%
Profit Margin29.1%
ROE32.3%
Debt/Equity83.74
Current Ratio4.46
Dividend Yield1.9%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.30

Trading Data

306.34
Open
306.34
Day High
306.34
Day Low
7.48M
Volume (1.0x avg)

Recent News (8)

1 Mooning Stock to Keep an Eye On and 2 We Find Risky
StockStory · 2026-05-14
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Post New Record Highs on Chip Stock Strength
Barchart · 2026-05-13
Chip Stocks Bounce Back, Pushing Nasdaq Higher
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-05-13
Is It Too Late To Consider Texas Instruments (TXN) After Its Rapid Share Price Surge
Simply Wall St. · 2026-05-13
Semiconductor Stocks Are Booming and It's Not Just AI
Zacks · 2026-05-13
Nvidia Defies the Decline in Chip Stocks
Barrons.com · 2026-05-12
New Strong Buy Stocks for May 12th
Zacks · 2026-05-12
Assessing Texas Instruments (TXN) Valuation After A Strong Multi‑Month Share Price Run
Simply Wall St. · 2026-05-12

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —