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Vulcan Materials Company

VMC · Basic Materials · · USD
288.73 USD
+0.00 (0.75%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 16:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

52
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 48
Momentum 48
Fundamental 78
Macro 78
Liquidity 44
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 20%
Trend & RS 48.2 30%
Momentum 48.3 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 78.4 20%
Liquidity 43.6 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 288.73
Stop Loss 269.69 (6.6%)
Target 1 (1:1) 307.77 (+6.6%)
Target 2 (2:1) 326.81 (+13.2%)
ATR(14) 9.52 (3.3%)
Risk per Share 19.04
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 47.1 -0.12
Momentum 48.3 -0.07
Quality 51.4 +0.06
Composite 49.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 34.0 18.0 +89% above
P/B Ratio 4.4 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 72.0% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
131.96
vs
Market Price
288.73
Upside
-54.3%
Margin of Safety -118.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)4,216,185,718
Terminal Value PV12,906,867,114
Total Enterprise Value17,123,052,832

Assumptions

Base FCF881,295,216
Growth Rate (5yr)7.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
34.16%
Full Kelly
17.08%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 52/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
46.63
RSI(14)
2.9324
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

45
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-12.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High No (61d since high)
Sector Outperformance +1.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 46.63 NEUTRAL
Macd 2.9324 BEARISH
Ma Cross 286.5 / 290.94 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.74x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High331.09
Bollinger Upper317.77
SMA(200)290.94
SMA(50)286.5
SMA(20)297.15
Current Price288.73
Bollinger Lower276.53
52-Week Low252.35
ATR(14)9.52

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-02 Normal 1.05x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06 Normal 0.62x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.8x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.81x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.74x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 299.63 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 295.35 Base line
Senkou A 297.49 Leading span A
Senkou B 286.54 Leading span B
Cloud 286.54 – 297.49 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 288.73 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 281.84 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 276.53 – 317.77  |  KC: 281.93 – 312.37

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 283.66 Anchor: 2026-03-19 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +1.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/VMC

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap37.46B
P/E (TTM)34.01
Forward P/EN/A
P/B4.42
EPS8.49

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth7.4%
Profit Margin13.8%
ROE13.5%
Debt/Equity61.25
Current Ratio2.59
Dividend Yield72.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.05

Trading Data

288.73
Open
288.73
Day High
288.73
Day Low
730.7K
Volume (0.6x avg)

Recent News (8)

Vulcan Materials (VMC) Stock Loses Russell 1000 Index Spot
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-10
Vulcan Materials Earnings Preview: What to Expect
Barchart · 2026-07-09
UFP Industries, Sherwin-Williams, and Vulcan Materials Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know
StockStory · 2026-07-09
The Quiet Repricing Of ROAD Stock
Trefis · 2026-07-08
MCEM Stock Outperforms Industry in 6 Months: Time to Buy?
Zacks · 2026-07-06
BofA’s Top Strategist Says Ditch the Index and Buy These ‘Boring’ Stocks Instead
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-07-02
Vulcan Materials (VMC): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings?
StockStory · 2026-07-01
Martin Marietta Made a Huge Buy. What the Deal Is Missing.
Barrons.com · 2026-06-29

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —