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Verisk Analytics, Inc.

VRSK · Industrials · · USD
185.79 USD
0.00 (-2.52%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

37
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 30
Momentum 47
Fundamental (0%) 72
Macro 64
Liquidity 36
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 40%
Trend & RS 29.7 20%
Momentum 46.7 20%
Fundamental 72.2 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 36.4 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 185.79
Stop Loss 172.87 (7.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 198.71 (+7.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 211.63 (+13.9%)
ATR(14) 6.46 (3.5%)
Risk per Share 12.92
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 44.1 -0.23
Momentum 46.7 -0.13
Quality 45.5 -0.18
Composite 45.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 6.19 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 28.5 18.0 +59% above
P/B Ratio -20.8 3.0 Inline
Dividend Yield 1.1% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
89.12
vs
Market Price
185.79
Upside
-52.0%
Margin of Safety -108.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)2,983,556,881
Terminal Value PV8,616,199,003
Total Enterprise Value11,599,755,884

Assumptions

Base FCF677,852,510
Growth Rate (5yr)4.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
22.08%
Full Kelly
11.04%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 37/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
45.96
RSI(14)
0.0752
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

24
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-2.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance +2.3% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 45.96 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.0752 BULLISH
Ma Cross 190.57 / 193.94 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.72x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High273.83
Bollinger Upper196.61
SMA(200)193.94
SMA(50)190.57
SMA(20)186.38
Current Price185.79
Bollinger Lower176.15
52-Week Low155.94
ATR(14)6.46

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION B Confidence
67%
Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.14x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.82x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.85x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.77x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.72x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 189.86 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 186.95 Base line
Senkou A 188.40 Leading span A
Senkou B 200.19 Leading span B
Cloud 188.40 – 200.19 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 185.79 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 194.85 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 176.15 – 196.61  |  KC: 176.81 – 195.95

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 183.28 Anchor: 2026-05-14 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +1.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/VRSK

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap24.18B
P/E (TTM)28.54
Forward P/EN/A
P/B-20.84
EPS6.51

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth4.4%
Profit Margin28.2%
ROEN/A
Debt/EquityN/A
Current Ratio1.00
Dividend Yield1.1%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.66

Trading Data

185.79
Open
185.79
Day High
185.79
Day Low
854.4K
Volume (0.4x avg)

Recent News (8)

1 Mid-Cap Stock on Our Watchlist and 2 We Avoid
StockStory · 2026-09-02
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Stock May Be Undervalued On Cash Flow, Overvalued On Earnings
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-02
Is Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Undervalued On Its New Catastrophe Loss Report?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-02
How Investors Are Reacting To Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Raising Its Global Catastrophe Loss Benchmark To $171 Billion
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-02
Verisk (VRSK) Down 4.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
Zacks · 2026-08-28
Subscription Revenues & AI Investments Aid VRSK Amid High Debt
Zacks · 2026-08-28
3 Mid-Cap Stocks with Warning Signs
StockStory · 2026-08-25
A Look Back at Data & Business Process Services Stocks’ Q2 Earnings: Verisk (NASDAQ:VRSK) Vs The Rest Of The Pack
StockStory · 2026-08-21

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —