Verisk Analytics, Inc.

VRSK · Industrials · · USD

185.79 USD

0.00 (-2.52%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 30

Momentum 47

Fundamental 33

Macro 64

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	29.7	10%
Momentum	46.7	5%
Fundamental	33.3	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	36.4	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	185.79
Stop Loss	172.87 (7.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	198.71 (+7.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	211.63 (+13.9%)

ATR(14)	6.46 (3.5%)
Risk per Share	12.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	47.7	-0.09
Momentum	46.7	-0.13
Quality	45.5	-0.18
Composite	46.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	28.5	18.0	+59% above
P/B Ratio	-20.8	3.0	Inline
Dividend Yield	1.1%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

89.12

Market Price

185.79

Upside

-52.0%

Margin of Safety	-108.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,983,556,979
Terminal Value PV	8,616,199,290
Total Enterprise Value	11,599,756,269

Assumptions

Base FCF	677,852,533
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

23.18%

Full Kelly

11.59%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 38/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

45.96

RSI(14)

0.0752

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-2.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+2.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	45.96	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0752	BULLISH
Ma Cross	190.57 / 193.94	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.72x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	273.83
Bollinger Upper	196.61
SMA(200)	193.94
SMA(50)	190.57
SMA(20)	186.38
Current Price	185.79
Bollinger Lower	176.15
52-Week Low	155.94
ATR(14)	6.46

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.14x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	189.86	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	186.95	Base line
Senkou A	188.40	Leading span A
Senkou B	200.19	Leading span B
Cloud	188.40 – 200.19	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	185.79	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	194.85	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH