The Williams Companies, Inc.
WMB · Energy · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
41
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
52
Momentum
31
Fundamental
44
Macro
22
Liquidity
82
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 51.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 30.6 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 44.0 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 81.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 64.25 |
| Stop Loss | 58.65 (8.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 69.85 (+8.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 75.45 (+17.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.80 (4.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.60 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 51.1 | +0.04 | |
| Momentum | 27.8 | -0.89 | |
| Quality | 44.3 | -0.23 | |
| Composite | 41.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.62
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 25.3 | 10.0 | +153% above |
| P/B Ratio | 5.1 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
48.32
vs
Market Price
64.25
Upside
-24.8%
| Margin of Safety | -33.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 13,903,371,286 |
| Terminal Value PV | 46,502,989,463 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 60,406,360,749 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,540,411,513 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 12.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
25.65%
Full Kelly
12.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
33.09
RSI(14)
-0.6209
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
54
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-3.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (42d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -18.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 33.09 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.6209 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 71.86 / 71.8 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.8x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 80.08 |
| Bollinger Upper | 77.0 |
| SMA(200) | 71.8 |
| SMA(50) | 71.86 |
| SMA(20) | 71.78 |
| Current Price | 64.25 |
| Bollinger Lower | 66.57 |
| 52-Week Low | 57.80 |
| ATR(14) | 2.8 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Stopping Volume | 2.16x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 69.90 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 69.90 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 69.90 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 70.05 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 69.90 – 70.05 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 64.25 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 69.22 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 66.57 – 77.0 | KC: 67.7 – 75.87
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 69.11
Anchor: 2025-11-05 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-7.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/WMB
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 80.33B |
| P/E (TTM) | 25.30 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.12 |
| EPS | 2.54 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 12.3% |
| Profit Margin | 24.7% |
| ROE | 18.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 157.88 |
| Current Ratio | 0.75 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.63 |
Trading Data
64.25
Open
64.25
Day High
64.25
Day Low
17.18M
Volume (2.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)