The Williams Companies, Inc.
WMB · Energy · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
63
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
78
Momentum
55
Fundamental
56
Macro
64
Liquidity
54
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 78.5 | 10% |
| Momentum | 54.8 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 40% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 54.4 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 74.15 |
| Stop Loss | 70.21 (5.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 78.09 (+5.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 82.03 (+10.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.97 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.94 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 39.1 | -0.44 | |
| Momentum | 54.8 | +0.19 | |
| Quality | 44.3 | -0.23 | |
| Composite | 46.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 29.5 | 10.0 | +195% above |
| P/B Ratio | 6.9 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
39.67
vs
Market Price
74.15
Upside
-46.5%
| Margin of Safety | -86.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 11,880,908,257 |
| Terminal Value PV | 36,645,567,469 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 48,526,475,726 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,456,120,263 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
41.65%
Full Kelly
20.82%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
53.1
RSI(14)
0.4617
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
83
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-0.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (49d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -15.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 53.1 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.4617 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 73.37 / 69.57 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.09x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 80.08 |
| Bollinger Upper | 76.47 |
| SMA(200) | 69.57 |
| SMA(50) | 73.37 |
| SMA(20) | 73.41 |
| Current Price | 74.15 |
| Bollinger Lower | 70.34 |
| 52-Week Low | 56.19 |
| ATR(14) | 1.97 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
78%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 2.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 1.09x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 73.56 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 72.42 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 72.99 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 73.76 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 72.99 – 73.76 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 74.15 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 71.54 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 70.34 – 76.47 | KC: 70.42 – 76.4
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 4 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 16 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 67.33
Anchor: 2025-09-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+10.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/WMB
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 90.70B |
| P/E (TTM) | 29.54 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 6.89 |
| EPS | 2.51 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.8% |
| Profit Margin | 24.9% |
| ROE | 21.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 200.37 |
| Current Ratio | 0.48 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.62 |
Trading Data
74.15
Open
74.15
Day High
74.15
Day Low
6.83M
Volume (1.0x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)