ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
XOM · Energy · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
58
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
79
Momentum
53
Fundamental (0%)
83
Macro
54
Liquidity
68
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 78.7 | 20% |
| Momentum | 52.8 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 0% |
| Macro | 54.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 67.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 165.87 |
| Stop Loss | 156.39 (5.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 175.35 (+5.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 184.83 (+11.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.74 (2.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 9.48 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 75.5 | +1.02 | |
| Momentum | 52.8 | +0.11 | |
| Quality | 37.3 | -0.51 | |
| Composite | 55.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
14.74
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.1 | 10.0 | +71% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.5 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
302.96
vs
Market Price
165.87
Upside
+82.6%
| Margin of Safety | +45.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 243,707,295,446 |
| Terminal Value PV | 992,114,334,313 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,235,821,629,759 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 31,720,033,725 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.04%
Full Kelly
19.02%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
39.38
RSI(14)
0.8845
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
71
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+9.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (5d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +0.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 39.38 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.8845 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 168.82 / 154.46 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.15x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 188.50 |
| Bollinger Upper | 189.01 |
| SMA(200) | 154.46 |
| SMA(50) | 168.82 |
| SMA(20) | 177.36 |
| Current Price | 165.87 |
| Bollinger Lower | 165.7 |
| 52-Week Low | 114.19 |
| ATR(14) | 4.74 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.19x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.86x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 176.00 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 174.94 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 175.47 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 171.91 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 171.91 – 175.47 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 165.87 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 164.01 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 165.7 – 189.01 | KC: 170.3 – 184.41
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 6 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 10 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 146.43
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+13.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/XOM
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 676.62B |
| P/E (TTM) | 17.06 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.55 |
| EPS | 9.72 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 32.6% |
| Profit Margin | 10.5% |
| ROE | 15.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 12.57 |
| Current Ratio | 1.19 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.14 |
Trading Data
165.87
Open
165.87
Day High
165.87
Day Low
15.87M
Volume (1.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)