XPeng Inc.
XPEV · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
26
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
23
Momentum
22
Fundamental (0%)
15
Macro
24
Liquidity
72
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 22.8 | 20% |
| Momentum | 22.2 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 14.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 71.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 9.92 |
| Stop Loss | 9.14 (7.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 10.70 (+7.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 11.48 (+15.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.39 (3.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.78 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 81.4 | +1.25 | |
| Momentum | 22.2 | -1.11 | |
| Quality | 9.7 | -1.61 | |
| Composite | 37.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
0.38
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 2.3 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
12.35%
Full Kelly
6.17%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 26/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.6%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
54.69
RSI(14)
-0.0808
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
7
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-12.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (54d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -18.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 54.69 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.0808 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 9.97 / 14.21 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.12x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 28.23 |
| Bollinger Upper | 10.02 |
| SMA(200) | 14.21 |
| SMA(50) | 9.97 |
| SMA(20) | 9.45 |
| Current Price | 9.60 |
| Bollinger Lower | 8.88 |
| 52-Week Low | 8.94 |
| ATR(14) | 0.39 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
69%
Upthrust (potential)
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 4.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.49x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.24x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.12x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 9.57 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 9.57 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 9.57 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 10.51 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 9.57 – 10.51 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 9.92 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 9.25 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
2 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 8.88 – 10.02 | KC: 8.86 – 10.04
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 6 | |
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 6 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 12 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 14 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 21 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 9.67
Anchor: 2026-10-30 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/XPEV
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 9.20B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.27 |
| EPS | -0.47 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 8.0% |
| Profit Margin | -4.1% |
| ROE | -10.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 99.44 |
| Current Ratio | 1.11 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.98 |
Trading Data
9.60
Open
9.60
Day High
9.60
Day Low
15.51M
Volume (2.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)