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XPeng Inc.

XPEV · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
10.95 USD
0.00 (-1.71%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 19:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)

29
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 16
Momentum 12
Fundamental 22
Macro 64
Liquidity 39
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 10%
Trend & RS 16.2 10%
Momentum 12.2 5%
Fundamental 22.2 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 39.0 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 10.95
Stop Loss 10.11 (7.7%)
Target 1 (1:1) 11.79 (+7.7%)
Target 2 (2:1) 12.63 (+15.3%)
ATR(14) 0.42 (3.8%)
Risk per Share 0.84
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 80.5 +1.22
Momentum 12.2 -1.51
Quality 9.7 -1.61
Composite 34.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio N/A 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 2.4 2.5 Inline

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
14.68%
Full Kelly
7.34%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 29/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
36.75
RSI(14)
-0.3998
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

3
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-36.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -35.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 36.75 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.3998 BEARISH
Ma Cross 12.39 / 16.5 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.66x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High28.23
Bollinger Upper12.38
SMA(200)16.5
SMA(50)12.39
SMA(20)11.61
Current Price10.95
Bollinger Lower10.85
52-Week Low10.72
ATR(14)0.42

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
64%
Selling Climax Sign of Weakness
Acc: 2.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 3.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 0.61x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.71x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.72x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.93x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.66x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 11.40 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 11.89 Base line
Senkou A 11.64 Leading span A
Senkou B 12.59 Leading span B
Cloud 11.64 – 12.59 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 10.95 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 13.00 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 10.85 – 12.38  |  KC: 11.01 – 12.21

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 11

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 11.01 Anchor: 2026-09-03 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -0.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/XPEV

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap10.47B
P/E (TTM)N/A
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.35
EPS-0.49

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth8.0%
Profit Margin-4.1%
ROE-10.9%
Debt/Equity99.44
Current Ratio1.11
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.10

Trading Data

10.95
Open
10.95
Day High
10.95
Day Low
5.03M
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

NIO After Q2 Earnings: Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock Now?
Zacks · 2026-09-03
Why Did PCG, NIO, XPEV Stocks Drop To 52-Week Lows Today?
Stocktwits · 2026-09-03
XPeng (XPEV) Stock Looks Overvalued After a 72% Five Year Slump
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-03
Is XPeng (XPEV) Below Fair Value On August Deliveries And Robotaxi Progress?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-02
Nio Drops 4% on J.P. Morgan Downgrade and $4.50 Price Target, XPeng and Li Auto Slip
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-02
Nio Falls 4% as Memory Chip Costs and Revenue Miss Overshadow Doubled Vehicle Margin, XPeng Holds Steady
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-01
BYD’s Domestic Sales Plunge. China’s Car Market Continues to Struggle.
Barrons.com · 2026-09-01
BYD Global Push Finally Delivers; Profits Rise For First Time Since 2025
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-08-28

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —