Xylem Inc.

XYL · Industrials · · USD

105.69 USD

0.00 (-2.04%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 20

Momentum 35

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 56

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	19.8	30%
Momentum	34.9	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	56.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	105.69
Stop Loss	100.11 (5.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	111.27 (+5.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	116.85 (+10.6%)

ATR(14)	2.79 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	5.58
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	68.4	+0.74
Momentum	34.9	-0.60
Quality	37.5	-0.50
Composite	46.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	25.2	18.0	+40% above
P/B Ratio	2.2	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	1.6%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

51.85

Market Price

105.69

Upside

-50.9%

Margin of Safety	-103.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	3,228,525,394
Terminal Value PV	8,877,292,557
Total Enterprise Value	12,105,817,951

Assumptions

Base FCF	784,515,728
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

19.2%

Full Kelly

9.6%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 34/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

30.28

RSI(14)

-3.0092

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-8.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (28d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-3.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	30.28	NEUTRAL
Macd	-3.0092	BEARISH
Ma Cross	117.14 / 123.3	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.43x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	154.27
Bollinger Upper	123.99
SMA(200)	123.3
SMA(50)	117.14
SMA(20)	113.84
Current Price	105.69
Bollinger Lower	103.68
52-Week Low	105.29
ATR(14)	2.79

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

43%

Sign of Weakness

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 1.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	110.36	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	114.50	Base line
Senkou A	112.43	Leading span A
Senkou B	116.08	Leading span B
Cloud	112.43 – 116.08	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	105.69	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	116.53	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH