Xylem Inc.
XYL · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
28
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
25
Momentum
35
Fundamental (0%)
56
Macro
22
Liquidity
51
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 24.8 | 20% |
| Momentum | 34.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 50.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 100.05 |
| Stop Loss | 92.47 (7.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 107.63 (+7.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 115.21 (+15.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.79 (3.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 7.58 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 71.7 | +0.87 | |
| Momentum | 34.7 | -0.61 | |
| Quality | 36.3 | -0.55 | |
| Composite | 47.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 22.2 | 18.0 | +23% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.2 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
55.67
vs
Market Price
100.05
Upside
-44.4%
| Margin of Safety | -79.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 3,405,168,784 |
| Terminal Value PV | 9,362,998,836 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 12,768,167,620 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 827,439,200 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
13.91%
Full Kelly
6.96%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 28/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
48.38
RSI(14)
-2.1254
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
12
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-11.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (61d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -14.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 48.38 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -2.1254 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 103.85 / 115.82 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.84x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 152.16 |
| Bollinger Upper | 113.06 |
| SMA(200) | 115.82 |
| SMA(50) | 103.85 |
| SMA(20) | 100.9 |
| Current Price | 100.05 |
| Bollinger Lower | 88.74 |
| 52-Week Low | 87.40 |
| ATR(14) | 3.79 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.62x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 98.41 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 98.84 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 98.62 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 101.32 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 98.62 – 101.32 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 100.05 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 100.88 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 88.74 – 113.06 | KC: 95.35 – 106.45
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 23 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 93.20
Anchor: 2026-10-28 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+7.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/XYL
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 22.94B |
| P/E (TTM) | 22.18 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.24 |
| EPS | 4.51 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -3.0% |
| Profit Margin | 11.9% |
| ROE | 9.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 28.79 |
| Current Ratio | 1.39 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.99 |
Trading Data
100.05
Open
100.05
Day High
100.05
Day Low
2.77M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)