Xylem Inc.

XYL · Industrials · · USD

109.37 USD

+0.00 (3.48%)

● Updated 2026-09-08 22:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 22

Momentum 40

Fundamental 89

Macro 63

Liquidity 56

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	21.5	10%
Momentum	39.9	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	63.4	15%
Liquidity	56.0	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	109.25
Stop Loss	103.45 (5.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	115.05 (+5.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	120.85 (+10.6%)

ATR(14)	2.90 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	5.80
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	64.3	+0.57
Momentum	39.9	-0.40
Quality	37.5	-0.50
Composite	47.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 6.26 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	26.0	18.0	+45% above
P/B Ratio	2.3	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	1.6%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

51.85

Market Price

109.37

Upside

-52.6%

Margin of Safety	-110.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	3,228,525,231
Terminal Value PV	8,877,292,106
Total Enterprise Value	12,105,817,337

Assumptions

Base FCF	784,515,688
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

39.71%

Full Kelly

19.85%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

40.97

RSI(14)

-2.8708

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-3.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (29d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	40.97	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.8708	BEARISH
Ma Cross	117.0 / 123.16	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.37x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	154.27
Bollinger Upper	123.07
SMA(200)	123.16
SMA(50)	117.0
SMA(20)	113.26
Current Price	109.37
Bollinger Lower	103.45
52-Week Low	105.29
ATR(14)	2.9

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

43%

Sign of Weakness

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 1.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.39x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-08	Normal	1.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	109.84	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	114.50	Base line
Senkou A	112.17	Leading span A
Senkou B	116.08	Leading span B
Cloud	112.17 – 116.08	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	109.25	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	118.63	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH