Taleem REIT Fund

4333.SR · Real Estate · · SAR

10.81 SAR

0.00 (-0.73%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 88

Momentum 70

Fundamental 56

Macro 55

Liquidity 53

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	87.9	10%
Momentum	70.5	5%
Fundamental	55.6	40%
Macro	55.1	15%
Liquidity	52.8	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	10.81
Stop Loss	10.49 (3.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	11.13 (+3.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	11.45 (+5.9%)

ATR(14)	0.16 (1.5%)
Risk per Share	0.32
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	84.7	+1.39
Momentum	64.1	+0.56
Quality	77.4	+1.10
Composite	75.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	16.4	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.0	1.5	Below
Dividend Yield	6.7%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

5.58

Market Price

10.81

Upside

-48.4%

Margin of Safety	-93.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	102,591,698
Terminal Value PV	182,018,328
Total Enterprise Value	284,610,026

Assumptions

Base FCF	26,928,001
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

40.03%

Full Kelly

20.02%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

56.37

RSI(14)

0.0664

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+11.0% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 2d since high
Sector Outperformance	+3.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	56.37	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0664	BEARISH
Ma Cross	10.59 / 9.98	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.67x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	10.93
Bollinger Upper	10.95
SMA(200)	9.98
SMA(50)	10.59
SMA(20)	10.78
Current Price	10.81
Bollinger Lower	10.61
52-Week Low	9.32
ATR(14)	0.16

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-05	Stopping Volume	2.58x	High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply
2026-07-06	Normal	0.53x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.67x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	10.61	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	10.62	Base line
Senkou A	10.61	Leading span A
Senkou B	10.49	Leading span B
Cloud	10.49 – 10.61	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	10.81	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	10.56	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 4 bars Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 10.61 – 10.95 | KC: 10.52 – 11.04

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bearish	RSI	14
Regular Bearish	RSI	28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 9.72 Anchor: 2025-07-22 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +11.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/4333.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	551.31M
P/E (TTM)	16.38
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.00
EPS	0.66

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-3.0%
Profit Margin	50.4%
ROE	6.1%
Debt/Equity	54.07
Current Ratio	14.84
Dividend Yield	6.7%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.12

Trading Data

10.81

Open

10.81

Day High

10.81

Day Low

57.5K

Volume (1.9x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)