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USD/SAR 3.75 +0.01%

Taleem REIT Fund

4333.SR · Real Estate · · SAR
10.81 SAR
0.00 (-0.73%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

71
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 88
Momentum 70
Fundamental 56
Macro 55
Liquidity 53
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 20%
Trend & RS 87.9 30%
Momentum 70.5 15%
Fundamental 55.6 10%
Macro 55.1 20%
Liquidity 52.8 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 10.81
Stop Loss 10.49 (3.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 11.13 (+3.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 11.45 (+5.9%)
ATR(14) 0.16 (1.5%)
Risk per Share 0.32
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 84.7 +1.39
Momentum 64.1 +0.56
Quality 77.4 +1.10
Composite 75.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 16.4 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 1.0 1.5 Below
Dividend Yield 6.7% 4.0% Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
5.58
vs
Market Price
10.81
Upside
-48.4%
Margin of Safety -93.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)102,591,698
Terminal Value PV182,018,328
Total Enterprise Value284,610,026

Assumptions

Base FCF26,928,001
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
46.46%
Full Kelly
23.23%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 71/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
56.37
RSI(14)
0.0664
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

69
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI ↑ RISING (+11.0% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High Near 3-month high 2d since high
Sector Outperformance +3.5% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 56.37 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.0664 BEARISH
Ma Cross 10.59 / 9.98 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.67x HIGH

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High10.93
Bollinger Upper10.95
SMA(200)9.98
SMA(50)10.59
SMA(20)10.78
Current Price10.81
Bollinger Lower10.61
52-Week Low9.32
ATR(14)0.16

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-05 Stopping Volume 2.58x High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply
2026-07-06 Normal 0.53x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.76x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.79x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 1.67x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 10.61 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 10.62 Base line
Senkou A 10.61 Leading span A
Senkou B 10.49 Leading span B
Cloud 10.49 – 10.61 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 10.81 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 10.56 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 4 bars Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 10.61 – 10.95  |  KC: 10.52 – 11.04

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 14
Regular Bearish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 9.72 Anchor: 2025-07-22 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +11.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/4333.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap551.31M
P/E (TTM)16.38
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.00
EPS0.66

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-3.0%
Profit Margin50.4%
ROE6.1%
Debt/Equity54.07
Current Ratio14.84
Dividend Yield6.7%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.12

Trading Data

10.81
Open
10.81
Day High
10.81
Day Low
57.5K
Volume (1.9x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —