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Apple Inc.

AAPL · Technology · · USD
319.97 USD
0.00 (-2.51%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

81
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 70
Momentum 74
Fundamental (0%) 83
Macro 64
Liquidity 60
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 40%
Trend & RS 70.2 20%
Momentum 73.8 20%
Fundamental 83.3 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 59.8 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 319.97
Stop Loss 304.71 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1) 335.23 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1) 350.49 (+9.5%)
ATR(14) 7.63 (2.4%)
Risk per Share 15.26
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 12.4 -1.50
Momentum 73.8 +0.95
Quality 63.2 +0.53
Composite 49.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 35.72 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 36.6 28.0 +31% above
P/B Ratio 43.5 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 34.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
195.88
vs
Market Price
319.97
Upside
-38.8%
Margin of Safety -63.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)624,025,839,186
Terminal Value PV2,234,724,748,602
Total Enterprise Value2,858,750,587,788

Assumptions

Base FCF102,042,506,560
Growth Rate (5yr)16.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
52.28%
Full Kelly
26.14%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 81/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.9%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
53.95
RSI(14)
2.6417
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

50
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-0.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance +10.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 53.95 NEUTRAL
Macd 2.6417 BULLISH
Ma Cross 314.99 / 283.44 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.0x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High344.57
Bollinger Upper328.06
SMA(200)283.44
SMA(50)314.99
SMA(20)313.14
Current Price319.97
Bollinger Lower298.22
52-Week Low225.95
ATR(14)7.63

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.04x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.34x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.85x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 319.51 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 315.28 Base line
Senkou A 317.39 Leading span A
Senkou B 308.89 Leading span B
Cloud 308.89 – 317.39 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 319.97 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 308.64 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 298.22 – 328.06  |  KC: 302.89 – 323.39

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 18
Regular Bearish RSI 29

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 277.96 Anchor: 2025-09-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +15.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/AAPL

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap4669.70B
P/E (TTM)36.61
Forward P/EN/A
P/B43.47
EPS8.74

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth16.4%
Profit Margin27.6%
ROE1.5%
Debt/Equity78.44
Current Ratio1.00
Dividend Yield34.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.08

Trading Data

319.97
Open
319.97
Day High
319.97
Day Low
39.61M
Volume (0.7x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —