Apple Inc.
AAPL · Technology · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
70
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
93
Momentum
76
Fundamental
67
Macro
23
Liquidity
83
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 93.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 75.7 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 82.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 344.17 |
| Stop Loss | 326.43 (5.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 361.91 (+5.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 379.65 (+10.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 8.87 (2.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 17.74 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 13.0 | -1.48 | |
| Momentum | 68.8 | +0.75 | |
| Quality | 63.4 | +0.54 | |
| Composite | 48.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.3 | 28.0 | +37% above |
| P/B Ratio | 44.6 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 31.0% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
166.71
vs
Market Price
344.17
Upside
-51.6%
| Margin of Safety | -106.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 562,091,724,463 |
| Terminal Value PV | 1,860,548,765,872 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 2,422,640,490,335 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 104,399,200,534 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
45.56%
Full Kelly
22.78%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
53.01
RSI(14)
2.2944
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
82
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+14.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +4.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 53.01 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.2944 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 335.46 / 298.06 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.56x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 355.38 |
| Bollinger Upper | 351.76 |
| SMA(200) | 298.06 |
| SMA(50) | 335.46 |
| SMA(20) | 343.1 |
| Current Price | 344.17 |
| Bollinger Lower | 334.44 |
| 52-Week Low | 243.42 |
| ATR(14) | 8.87 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
56%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.34x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.31x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.56x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 340.36 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 340.36 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 340.36 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 331.79 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 331.79 – 340.36 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 344.17 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 330.32 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
5 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 334.44 – 351.76 | KC: 330.56 – 355.64
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 6 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 11 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 28 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 296.74
Anchor: 2026-01-20 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+16.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AAPL
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 5001.54B |
| P/E (TTM) | 38.33 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 44.62 |
| EPS | 8.98 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.7% |
| Profit Margin | 27.6% |
| ROE | 1.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 84.29 |
| Current Ratio | 1.02 |
| Dividend Yield | 31.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.09 |
Trading Data
344.17
Open
344.17
Day High
344.17
Day Low
74.17M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)