S&P 500 7543.64 +0.81%
NASDAQ 26206.89 +1.30%
TASI 10808.43 -0.42%
Oil (WTI) 72.18 +0.14%
Oil (Brent) 76.56 +0.34%
VIX 15.78 -0.38%
Gold 4110.20 -0.74%
USD/SAR 3.75 +0.00%

Apple Inc.

AAPL · Technology · · USD
316.22 USD
+0.00 (0.90%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 16:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

86
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 93
Momentum 82
Fundamental 67
Macro 78
Liquidity 62
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 93.1 30%
Momentum 81.7 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 78.4 20%
Liquidity 61.8 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 316.22
Stop Loss 299.52 (5.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 332.92 (+5.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 349.62 (+10.6%)
ATR(14) 8.35 (2.6%)
Risk per Share 16.70
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 13.0 -1.48
Momentum 81.7 +1.27
Quality 63.5 +0.54
Composite 52.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 38.3 28.0 +37% above
P/B Ratio 43.6 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 34.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
186.36
vs
Market Price
316.22
Upside
-41.1%
Margin of Safety -69.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)595,997,931,091
Terminal Value PV2,141,205,365,470
Total Enterprise Value2,737,203,296,561

Assumptions

Base FCF96,936,548,397
Growth Rate (5yr)16.6%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
54.55%
Full Kelly
27.27%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 86/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.1%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
63.86
RSI(14)
3.9634
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

82
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+10.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance -25.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 63.86 NEUTRAL
Macd 3.9634 BULLISH
Ma Cross 296.83 / 271.8 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.73x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High317.40
Bollinger Upper318.69
SMA(200)271.8
SMA(50)296.83
SMA(20)296.92
Current Price316.22
Bollinger Lower275.15
52-Week Low201.50
ATR(14)8.35

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-02 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06 Normal 0.82x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.65x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.63x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.73x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 295.37 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 295.57 Base line
Senkou A 295.47 Leading span A
Senkou B 291.11 Leading span B
Cloud 291.11 – 295.47 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 316.22 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 315.20 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 275.15 – 318.69  |  KC: 284.27 – 309.56

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish MACD 10

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 264.69 Anchor: 2025-08-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +19.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/AAPL

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap4644.44B
P/E (TTM)38.33
Forward P/EN/A
P/B43.56
EPS8.25

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth16.6%
Profit Margin27.2%
ROE1.4%
Debt/Equity79.55
Current Ratio1.07
Dividend Yield34.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.10

Trading Data

316.22
Open
316.22
Day High
316.22
Day Low
44.88M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

Apple Faces 23% Downside Call
GuruFocus.com · 2026-07-10
If You Invested $10,000 in Apple When Tim Cook Took Over, Here’s What It’s Worth Now
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-07-10
Elon Musk Has Some Wild Thoughts About SpaceX’s Valuation
Barrons.com · 2026-07-10
Pierre Ferragu Says Tesla FSD Could Be At An 'Inflection Point,' Compares It To The iPhone Playbook — 'Give Us 2 More Quarters'
Stocktwits · 2026-07-10
Trump Made 327 Stock Trades in Apple, Nvidia, and Other Tech Giants Before His Tariff Pause
Motley Fool · 2026-07-10
Take Five: Chips, banks and volatility
Reuters · 2026-07-10
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Apple, KLA, Western Digital and Optex Systems
Zacks · 2026-07-10
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Lenovo, HP, Dell and Apple
Zacks · 2026-07-10

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —