Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)
75
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
83
Momentum
52
Fundamental (0%)
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
92
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 82.7 | 20% |
| Momentum | 52.1 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 92.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 260.21 |
| Stop Loss | 241.29 (7.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 279.13 (+7.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 298.05 (+14.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 9.46 (3.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 18.92 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 56.7 | +0.27 | |
| Momentum | 47.4 | -0.10 | |
| Quality | 47.5 | -0.10 | |
| Composite | 50.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
7.59
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.0 | 18.0 | +17% above |
| P/B Ratio | 4.6 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
233.41
vs
Market Price
260.21
Upside
-10.3%
| Margin of Safety | -11.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 582,452,185,255 |
| Terminal Value PV | 1,941,411,181,195 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 2,523,863,366,450 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 107,006,816,676 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 12.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
48.8%
Full Kelly
24.4%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
54.97
RSI(14)
0.0487
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
81
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-0.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 62d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -6.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 54.97 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0487 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 253.89 / 243.82 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.78x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 287.20 |
| Bollinger Upper | 268.8 |
| SMA(200) | 243.82 |
| SMA(50) | 253.89 |
| SMA(20) | 254.43 |
| Current Price | 260.21 |
| Bollinger Lower | 240.07 |
| 52-Week Low | 196.00 |
| ATR(14) | 9.46 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
78%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Stopping Volume | 2.19x | High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.22x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.78x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 251.30 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 251.30 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 251.30 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 251.30 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 251.30 – 251.30 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 260.21 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 248.23 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 240.07 – 268.8 | KC: 240.69 – 268.18
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 13 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 13 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 244.32
Anchor: 2026-02-17 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+6.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AMZN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 2813.69B |
| P/E (TTM) | 21.04 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.58 |
| EPS | 12.37 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 12.1% |
| Profit Margin | 16.9% |
| ROE | 27.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 49.68 |
| Current Ratio | 0.99 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.50 |
Trading Data
260.21
Open
260.21
Day High
260.21
Day Low
83.76M
Volume (2.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)