Amazon.com, Inc.

AMZN · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

258.51 USD

0.00 (-0.15%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 80

Momentum 65

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 58

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	79.8	30%
Momentum	64.6	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	57.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	258.51
Stop Loss	245.13 (5.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	271.89 (+5.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	285.27 (+10.3%)

ATR(14)	6.69 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	13.38
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	58.5	+0.34
Momentum	64.6	+0.58
Quality	50.4	+0.02
Composite	57.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.8	18.0	+16% above
P/B Ratio	5.0	2.5	Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

315.65

Market Price

258.51

Upside

+22.1%

Margin of Safety	+18.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	714,581,420,445
Terminal Value PV	2,690,097,803,530
Total Enterprise Value	3,404,679,223,975

Assumptions

Base FCF	107,259,100,999
Growth Rate (5yr)	19.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

46.4%

Full Kelly

23.2%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 71/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

49.55

RSI(14)

0.3392

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+0.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (24d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	49.55	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.3392	BEARISH
Ma Cross	253.95 / 239.12	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.94x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	287.20
Bollinger Upper	273.63
SMA(200)	239.12
SMA(50)	253.95
SMA(20)	262.2
Current Price	258.51
Bollinger Lower	250.76
52-Week Low	196.00
ATR(14)	6.69

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.41x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	259.75	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	269.56	Base line
Senkou A	264.65	Leading span A
Senkou B	256.38	Leading span B
Cloud	256.38 – 264.65	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	258.51	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	271.58	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL