American Water Works Company, Inc.

AWK · Utilities · · USD

152.42 USD

+0.00 (1.86%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 16:22 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 80

Trend & RS 83

Momentum 88

Fundamental 44

Macro 22

Liquidity 64

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	80.0	10%
Trend & RS	83.1	10%
Momentum	87.7	5%
Fundamental	44.4	40%
Macro	22.5	15%
Liquidity	63.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	152.42
Stop Loss	145.74 (4.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	159.10 (+4.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	165.78 (+8.8%)

ATR(14)	3.34 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	6.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	65.5	+0.62
Momentum	79.7	+1.19
Quality	34.1	-0.63
Composite	59.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	26.4	16.0	+65% above
P/B Ratio	2.5	1.8	Above
Dividend Yield	2.4%	3.5%	Below avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

78.12

Market Price

152.42

Upside

-48.7%

Margin of Safety	-95.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	4,018,466,314
Terminal Value PV	11,535,353,738
Total Enterprise Value	15,553,820,052

Assumptions

Base FCF	920,659,948
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.1%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

35.71%

Full Kelly

17.86%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

76.15

RSI(14)

4.2639

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+18.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High	✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance	+9.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	76.15	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	4.2639	BULLISH
Ma Cross	136.46 / 131.72	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.55x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	153.69
Bollinger Upper	153.21
SMA(200)	131.72
SMA(50)	136.46
SMA(20)	139.17
Current Price	152.42
Bollinger Lower	125.12
52-Week Low	120.57
ATR(14)	3.34

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-10-30	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-03	Normal	1.06x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	1.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	1.55x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	146.36	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	140.01	Base line
Senkou A	143.19	Leading span A
Senkou B	140.01	Leading span B
Cloud	140.01 – 143.19	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	152.42	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	127.86	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 125.12 – 153.21 | KC: 134.15 – 144.18

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 132.23 Anchor: 2026-02-09 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +15.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/AWK

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	30.35B
P/E (TTM)	26.37
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.54
EPS	5.78

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	4.1%
Profit Margin	21.3%
ROE	9.9%
Debt/Equity	137.68
Current Ratio	0.39
Dividend Yield	2.4%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.55

Trading Data

152.42

Open

152.42

Day High

152.42

Day Low

3.15M

Volume (1.6x avg)

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)

American Water Works Company, Inc.

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

Trade Setup

Factor Profile

Quality Scores

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Assumptions

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

Technical Indicators

Key Levels

Advanced Technical Analysis

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Anchored VWAP

Heikin-Ashi Trend

Valuation

Financial Health

Trading Data

Insider Activity

Price Chart (90 Days)