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American Water Works Company, Inc.

AWK · Utilities · · USD
140.70 USD
0.00 (-0.13%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 19:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

76
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 88
Momentum 62
Fundamental 56
Macro 64
Liquidity 48
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 87.9 30%
Momentum 62.1 15%
Fundamental 55.6 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 48.3 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 140.70
Stop Loss 134.74 (4.2%)
Target 1 (1:1) 146.66 (+4.2%)
Target 2 (2:1) 152.62 (+8.5%)
ATR(14) 2.98 (2.1%)
Risk per Share 5.96
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 68.5 +0.74
Momentum 62.1 +0.48
Quality 34.5 -0.62
Composite 55.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 24.4 16.0 +52% above
P/B Ratio 2.4 1.8 Above
Dividend Yield 2.5% 3.5% Below avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
85.27
vs
Market Price
140.70
Upside
-39.4%
Margin of Safety -65.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)4,245,072,848
Terminal Value PV12,700,698,670
Total Enterprise Value16,945,771,518

Assumptions

Base FCF917,332,984
Growth Rate (5yr)6.2%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
49.54%
Full Kelly
24.77%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
61.19
RSI(14)
1.6553
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

69
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+9.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance +15.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 61.19 NEUTRAL
Macd 1.6553 BULLISH
Ma Cross 134.56 / 129.95 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.96x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High145.64
Bollinger Upper141.19
SMA(200)129.95
SMA(50)134.56
SMA(20)137.34
Current Price140.70
Bollinger Lower133.49
52-Week Low120.57
ATR(14)2.98

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.12x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.77x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.1x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.85x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.96x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 138.77 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 135.58 Base line
Senkou A 137.17 Leading span A
Senkou B 133.90 Leading span B
Cloud 133.90 – 137.17 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 140.70 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 133.28 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 34 bars Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 133.49 – 141.19  |  KC: 133.09 – 141.59

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 11

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 131.00 Anchor: 2026-02-09 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +7.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/AWK

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap27.96B
P/E (TTM)24.38
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.40
EPS5.77

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth6.2%
Profit Margin21.3%
ROE10.1%
Debt/Equity137.75
Current Ratio0.52
Dividend Yield2.5%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.58

Trading Data

140.70
Open
140.70
Day High
140.70
Day Low
2.06M
Volume (0.9x avg)

Recent News (8)

Why Is American States Water (AWR) Up 4.7% Since Last Earnings Report?
Zacks · 2026-09-04
American Water Works Company (AWK) Completes Neosho System Acquisition With $35 Million Upgrade Plan
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-04
AWK's Missouri Unit Buys Neosho Water & Wastewater Systems for $34.5M
Zacks · 2026-09-04
AWK Unit to Invest $0.9M to Strengthen West Virginia Infrastructure
Zacks · 2026-09-03
Will Customer Growth Support Essential Utilities ' Long-Term Earnings?
Zacks · 2026-08-31
Why Is American Water Works (AWK) Down 0.1% Since Last Earnings Report?
Zacks · 2026-08-28
American Water Works (AWK) Stock Looks Above Fair Value As Shares Fell 17%
Simply Wall St. · 2026-08-27
American Water Works Company (AWK), What Is Behind The Fresh Attention?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-08-18

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —