Axon Enterprise, Inc.

AXON · Industrials · · USD

572.11 USD

0.00 (-1.70%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 19:11 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 84

Momentum 72

Fundamental 89

Macro 71

Liquidity 37

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	84.3	10%
Momentum	72.0	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	36.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	569.43
Stop Loss	501.51 (11.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	637.36 (+11.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	705.27 (+23.9%)

ATR(14)	33.96 (6.0%)
Risk per Share	67.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	72.0	+0.88
Quality	39.3	-0.43
Composite	37.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 16.07 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	228.8	18.0	+1171% above
P/B Ratio	13.0	3.0	Above

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

77.92

Market Price

572.11

Upside

-86.4%

Margin of Safety	-634.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,238,543,083
Terminal Value PV	5,042,017,080
Total Enterprise Value	6,280,560,163

Assumptions

Base FCF	161,204,154
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

47.58%

Full Kelly

23.79%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

61.54

RSI(14)

44.1587

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+51.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+57.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	61.54	NEUTRAL
Macd	44.1587	BULLISH
Ma Cross	453.77 / 529.46	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.27x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	885.92
Bollinger Upper	665.17
SMA(200)	529.46
SMA(50)	453.77
SMA(20)	504.93
Current Price	572.11
Bollinger Lower	344.68
52-Week Low	339.01
ATR(14)	33.96

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.27x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	575.55	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	533.54	Base line
Senkou A	554.54	Leading span A
Senkou B	515.54	Leading span B
Cloud	515.54 – 554.54	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	569.43	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	481.48	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH