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Axon Enterprise, Inc.

AXON · Industrials · · USD
561.76 USD
0.00 (-3.48%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 18:11 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

72
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 84
Momentum 71
Fundamental (0%) 78
Macro 65
Liquidity 37
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 40%
Trend & RS 83.5 20%
Momentum 70.7 20%
Fundamental 77.8 0%
Macro 65.2 15%
Liquidity 36.6 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 562.98
Stop Loss 495.06 (12.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 630.90 (+12.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 698.82 (+24.1%)
ATR(14) 33.96 (6.0%)
Risk per Share 67.92
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 70.7 +0.83
Quality 39.3 -0.43
Composite 36.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 224.7 18.0 +1148% above
P/B Ratio 12.8 3.0 Above

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
77.92
vs
Market Price
561.76
Upside
-86.1%
Margin of Safety -620.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,238,543,204
Terminal Value PV5,042,017,572
Total Enterprise Value6,280,560,776

Assumptions

Base FCF161,204,170
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
47.23%
Full Kelly
23.61%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
60.11
RSI(14)
43.6437
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

83
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+49.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance +56.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 60.11 NEUTRAL
Macd 43.6437 BULLISH
Ma Cross 453.64 / 529.42 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.16x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High885.92
Bollinger Upper664.33
SMA(200)529.42
SMA(50)453.64
SMA(20)504.6
Current Price561.76
Bollinger Lower344.88
52-Week Low339.01
ATR(14)33.96

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 1.01x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 1.44x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.88x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 Normal 0.16x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 575.55 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 533.54 Base line
Senkou A 554.54 Leading span A
Senkou B 515.54 Leading span B
Cloud 515.54 – 554.54 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 562.98 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 481.48 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 344.88 – 664.33  |  KC: 454.29 – 554.92

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 14

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 440.84 Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +27.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/AXON

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap45.28B
P/E (TTM)224.70
Forward P/EN/A
P/B12.81
EPS2.50

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth33.7%
Profit Margin6.9%
ROE6.8%
Debt/Equity52.07
Current Ratio2.27
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.38

Trading Data

561.76
Open
561.76
Day High
561.76
Day Low
171.7K
Volume (0.1x avg)

Recent News (8)

Axon (AXON) Upgraded to Strong Buy: Here's What You Should Know
Zacks · 2026-07-09
Investors Heavily Search Axon Enterprise, Inc (AXON): Here is What You Need to Know
Zacks · 2026-07-09
Why Axon Enterprise (AXON) Is Up 14.2% After Trump Stake And New ICE Contract Momentum
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-08
Axon Enterprise (AXON) Following Its Public Safety Platform Narrative Looks Fully Valued
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-08
2 Stocks Down Over 30% to Buy Right Now and Hold for the Next Decade
Motley Fool · 2026-07-08
Axon Enterprise (AXON) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for Investors
Zacks · 2026-07-07
Needham Bets Axon's Premium Is Sustainable at $750
GuruFocus.com · 2026-07-07
Is Axon Enterprise (AXON) Stock Outpacing Its Aerospace Peers This Year?
Zacks · 2026-07-07

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —