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Axon Enterprise, Inc.

AXON · Industrials · · USD
515.67 USD
0.00 (-4.18%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 19:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

59
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 59
Momentum 55
Fundamental 78
Macro 64
Liquidity 45
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 59.0 30%
Momentum 54.6 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 44.8 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 515.67
Stop Loss 451.05 (12.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 580.29 (+12.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 644.91 (+25.1%)
ATR(14) 32.31 (6.3%)
Risk per Share 64.62
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 54.6 +0.19
Quality 37.3 -0.51
Composite 30.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 213.1 18.0 +1084% above
P/B Ratio 11.4 3.0 Above

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
75.43
vs
Market Price
515.67
Upside
-85.4%
Margin of Safety -583.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,208,359,961
Terminal Value PV4,919,143,827
Total Enterprise Value6,127,503,788

Assumptions

Base FCF157,275,631
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
38.65%
Full Kelly
19.32%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
40.73
RSI(14)
-8.2423
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

47
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+1.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (43d since high)
Sector Outperformance +5.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 40.73 NEUTRAL
Macd -8.2423 BEARISH
Ma Cross 566.83 / 505.56 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.79x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High792.16
Bollinger Upper674.28
SMA(200)505.56
SMA(50)566.83
SMA(20)592.43
Current Price515.67
Bollinger Lower510.59
52-Week Low339.01
ATR(14)32.31

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.35x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.74x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.3x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.06x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.79x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 559.89 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 575.31 Base line
Senkou A 567.60 Leading span A
Senkou B 547.46 Leading span B
Cloud 547.46 – 567.60 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 515.67 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 527.76 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 510.59 – 674.28  |  KC: 544.03 – 640.83

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 13
Regular Bearish RSI 19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 480.00 Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +7.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/AXON

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap41.89B
P/E (TTM)213.09
Forward P/EN/A
P/B11.40
EPS2.42

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth35.3%
Profit Margin6.2%
ROE6.2%
Debt/Equity50.36
Current Ratio2.15
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.40

Trading Data

515.67
Open
515.67
Day High
515.67
Day Low
649.7K
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

Why Is Axon (AXON) Up 3% Since Last Earnings Report?
Zacks · 2026-09-04
Axon's Connected Devices Unit Fuels Growth: Can It Sustain the Momentum?
Zacks · 2026-09-04
Insider Alert: Axon President Sells $9.6 Million in Stock
Motley Fool · 2026-09-04
2 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stocks to Own for Decades and 1 That Underwhelm
StockStory · 2026-09-03
Reflecting On Aerospace and Defense Stocks’ Q2 Earnings: Axon (NASDAQ:AXON)
StockStory · 2026-09-03
Needham Backs Axon After a 14% Week on ALPR Fears
GuruFocus.com · 2026-09-02
US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Futures Slip As Rising Yields Pressure Equities
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-02
Will Strength in Dedrone Platform Continue to Drive AXON's Growth?
Zacks · 2026-08-28

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —