Axon Enterprise, Inc.
AXON · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
36
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
31
Momentum
28
Fundamental
89
Macro
22
Liquidity
85
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 31.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 28.3 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 84.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 382.56 |
| Stop Loss | 340.48 (11.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 424.64 (+11.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 466.72 (+22.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 21.04 (5.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 42.08 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 6.2 | -1.75 | |
| Momentum | 25.7 | -0.97 | |
| Quality | 47.3 | -0.11 | |
| Composite | 26.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
7.43
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 158.7 | 18.0 | +782% above |
| P/B Ratio | 8.2 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
75.12
vs
Market Price
382.56
Upside
-80.4%
| Margin of Safety | -409.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,203,366,771 |
| Terminal Value PV | 4,898,816,922 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 6,102,183,693 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 156,625,736 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
21.56%
Full Kelly
10.78%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
35.41
RSI(14)
-8.4311
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
40
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-28.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (55d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -31.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 35.41 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -8.4311 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 447.49 / 474.56 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 3.49x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 665.07 |
| Bollinger Upper | 444.52 |
| SMA(200) | 474.56 |
| SMA(50) | 447.49 |
| SMA(20) | 413.41 |
| Current Price | 382.56 |
| Bollinger Lower | 382.3 |
| 52-Week Low | 339.01 |
| ATR(14) | 21.04 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
56%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.71x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 3.49x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 403.88 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 403.88 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 403.88 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 494.39 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 403.88 – 494.39 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 382.56 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 422.21 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 382.3 – 444.52 | KC: 384.24 – 442.59
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 14 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 16 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 20 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 22 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 464.67
Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-17.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AXON
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 31.08B |
| P/E (TTM) | 158.74 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 8.24 |
| EPS | 2.41 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 27.9% |
| Profit Margin | 7.6% |
| ROE | 7.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 78.90 |
| Current Ratio | 3.00 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
382.56
Open
382.56
Day High
382.56
Day Low
3.58M
Volume (3.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)