Brown-Forman Corporation
BF-B · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
72
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
87
Momentum
70
Fundamental
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
56
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 86.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 70.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 55.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 29.92 |
| Stop Loss | 27.98 (6.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 31.86 (+6.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 33.80 (+13.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.97 (3.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.94 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 64.1 | +0.56 | |
| Momentum | 70.1 | +0.80 | |
| Quality | 64.0 | +0.56 | |
| Composite | 66.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
5.71
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.0 | 18.0 | +11% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.6 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
19.13
vs
Market Price
30.96
Upside
-38.2%
| Margin of Safety | -61.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,481,822,029 |
| Terminal Value PV | 4,074,481,708 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 5,556,303,737 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 360,075,436 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
47.17%
Full Kelly
23.58%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
58.05
RSI(14)
0.8062
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
66
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+12.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -0.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 58.05 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.8062 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 27.33 / 26.78 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.01x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 31.92 |
| Bollinger Upper | 31.01 |
| SMA(200) | 26.78 |
| SMA(50) | 27.33 |
| SMA(20) | 28.82 |
| Current Price | 30.96 |
| Bollinger Lower | 26.63 |
| 52-Week Low | 22.61 |
| ATR(14) | 0.97 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.46x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.54x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.01x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 29.58 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 28.66 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 29.12 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 28.59 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 28.59 – 29.12 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 29.92 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 26.16 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 26.63 – 31.01 | KC: 27.38 – 30.26
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 23 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 27 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 26.62
Anchor: 2026-03-18 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+12.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/BF-B
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 14.21B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.97 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.58 |
| EPS | 1.55 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -1.4% |
| Profit Margin | 18.4% |
| ROE | 18.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 61.50 |
| Current Ratio | 3.26 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.31 |
Trading Data
30.96
Open
30.96
Day High
30.96
Day Low
3.35M
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)