Brown-Forman Corporation

BF-B · Consumer Defensive · · USD

26.73 USD

0.00 (-2.84%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 40

Momentum 60

Fundamental (0%) 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	40%
Trend & RS	39.7	20%
Momentum	60.4	20%
Fundamental	66.7	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	42.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	26.73
Stop Loss	25.05 (6.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	28.41 (+6.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	30.09 (+12.6%)

ATR(14)	0.84 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	1.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	72.8	+0.91
Momentum	60.4	+0.42
Quality	64.0	+0.56
Composite	65.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.2	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	3.1	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	3.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

19.13

Market Price

26.73

Upside

-28.4%

Margin of Safety	-39.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,341,577,067
Terminal Value PV	6,438,501,217
Total Enterprise Value	8,780,078,284

Assumptions

Base FCF	568,991,664
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

26.22%

Full Kelly

13.11%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 42/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

45.32

RSI(14)

-0.1099

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-0.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+1.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	45.32	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.1099	BEARISH
Ma Cross	27.01 / 26.75	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.99x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	31.92
Bollinger Upper	28.85
SMA(200)	26.75
SMA(50)	27.01
SMA(20)	27.52
Current Price	26.73
Bollinger Lower	26.2
52-Week Low	22.61
ATR(14)	0.84

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.57x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	2.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	27.14	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	27.54	Base line
Senkou A	27.34	Leading span A
Senkou B	27.06	Leading span B
Cloud	27.06 – 27.34	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	26.73	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	28.49	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH