Brown-Forman Corporation
BF-B · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)
83
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
88
Momentum
74
Fundamental (0%)
67
Macro
54
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 87.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 74.2 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 54.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 48.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 30.58 |
| Stop Loss | 28.64 (6.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 32.52 (+6.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 34.46 (+12.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.97 (3.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.94 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 67.7 | +0.71 | |
| Momentum | 74.2 | +0.97 | |
| Quality | 64.0 | +0.56 | |
| Composite | 68.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.7 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 3.5 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
19.13
vs
Market Price
30.58
Upside
-37.4%
| Margin of Safety | -59.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,341,577,064 |
| Terminal Value PV | 6,438,501,206 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 8,780,078,270 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 568,991,664 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
53.1%
Full Kelly
26.55%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 83/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 10.0%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
62.43
RSI(14)
0.8589
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
68
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+14.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 1d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +1.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 62.43 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.8589 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 27.34 / 26.79 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.89x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 31.92 |
| Bollinger Upper | 31.13 |
| SMA(200) | 26.79 |
| SMA(50) | 27.34 |
| SMA(20) | 28.85 |
| Current Price | 30.58 |
| Bollinger Lower | 26.58 |
| 52-Week Low | 22.61 |
| ATR(14) | 0.97 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.47x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.17x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 29.58 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 28.66 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 29.12 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 28.59 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 28.59 – 29.12 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 30.58 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 26.16 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 26.58 – 31.13 | KC: 27.41 – 30.3
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 23 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 27 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 26.63
Anchor: 2026-03-18 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+14.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/BF-B
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 14.03B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.73 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.53 |
| EPS | 1.55 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -1.4% |
| Profit Margin | 18.4% |
| ROE | 18.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 61.50 |
| Current Ratio | 3.26 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.31 |
Trading Data
30.58
Open
30.58
Day High
30.58
Day Low
2.54M
Volume (1.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)