Brown-Forman Corporation
BF-B · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
72
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
87
Momentum
77
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
56
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 86.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 77.2 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 55.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 30.96 |
| Stop Loss | 29.04 (6.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 32.88 (+6.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 34.80 (+12.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.96 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.92 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 67.2 | +0.69 | |
| Momentum | 77.2 | +1.09 | |
| Quality | 64.0 | +0.56 | |
| Composite | 69.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.0 | 18.0 | +11% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.6 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
19.13
vs
Market Price
30.96
Upside
-38.2%
| Margin of Safety | -61.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,341,577,123 |
| Terminal Value PV | 6,438,501,370 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 8,780,078,493 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 568,991,678 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
46.7%
Full Kelly
23.35%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
65.27
RSI(14)
0.8138
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
66
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+14.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +0.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 65.27 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.8138 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 27.27 / 26.77 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.18x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 31.92 |
| Bollinger Upper | 31.02 |
| SMA(200) | 26.77 |
| SMA(50) | 27.27 |
| SMA(20) | 28.64 |
| Current Price | 30.96 |
| Bollinger Lower | 26.27 |
| 52-Week Low | 22.61 |
| ATR(14) | 0.96 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.17x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.48x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.18x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 29.58 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 28.66 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 29.12 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 28.59 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 28.59 – 29.12 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 30.96 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 25.97 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 26.27 – 31.02 | KC: 27.26 – 30.03
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 22 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 26.62
Anchor: 2026-03-18 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+16.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/BF-B
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 14.21B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.97 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.58 |
| EPS | 1.55 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -1.4% |
| Profit Margin | 18.4% |
| ROE | 18.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 61.50 |
| Current Ratio | 3.26 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.31 |
Trading Data
30.96
Open
30.96
Day High
30.96
Day Low
3.35M
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)