Biogen Inc.
BIIB · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)
66
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
90
Momentum
72
Fundamental
67
Macro
64
Liquidity
38
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 89.9 | 10% |
| Momentum | 71.6 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 37.8 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 220.83 |
| Stop Loss | 209.07 (5.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 232.59 (+5.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 244.35 (+10.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.88 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 11.76 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 55.5 | +0.22 | |
| Momentum | 71.6 | +0.87 | |
| Quality | 34.9 | -0.60 | |
| Composite | 54.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 39.2 | 22.0 | +78% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.7 | 4.0 | Below |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
73.84
vs
Market Price
220.83
Upside
-66.6%
| Margin of Safety | -199.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,848,375,027 |
| Terminal Value PV | 8,061,546,357 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 10,909,921,384 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 665,484,037 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 3.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
43.6%
Full Kelly
21.8%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
57.98
RSI(14)
4.0396
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
74
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+8.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | No (49d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +5.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 57.98 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 4.0396 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 209.53 / 191.05 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.65x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 225.80 |
| Bollinger Upper | 227.6 |
| SMA(200) | 191.05 |
| SMA(50) | 209.53 |
| SMA(20) | 215.77 |
| Current Price | 220.83 |
| Bollinger Lower | 203.94 |
| 52-Week Low | 135.39 |
| ATR(14) | 5.88 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 1.1x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.78x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 219.69 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 212.69 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 216.19 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 205.92 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 205.92 – 216.19 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 220.83 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 202.95 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 203.94 – 227.6 | KC: 207.73 – 223.82
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 4 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 28 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 180.99
Anchor: 2025-09-29 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+22.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 32.63B |
| P/E (TTM) | 39.22 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.73 |
| EPS | 5.63 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.4% |
| Profit Margin | 8.3% |
| ROE | 4.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 44.33 |
| Current Ratio | 1.86 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.17 |
Trading Data
220.83
Open
220.83
Day High
220.83
Day Low
465.1K
Volume (0.4x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)