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Biogen Inc.

BIIB · Healthcare · · USD
220.83 USD
0.00 (-1.64%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

79
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 90
Momentum 72
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 38
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 89.9 30%
Momentum 71.6 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 37.8 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 220.83
Stop Loss 209.07 (5.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 232.59 (+5.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 244.35 (+10.7%)
ATR(14) 5.88 (2.7%)
Risk per Share 11.76
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 55.5 +0.22
Momentum 71.6 +0.87
Quality 34.9 -0.60
Composite 54.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 39.2 22.0 +78% above
P/B Ratio 1.7 4.0 Below

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
73.84
vs
Market Price
220.83
Upside
-66.6%
Margin of Safety -199.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)2,848,375,027
Terminal Value PV8,061,546,357
Total Enterprise Value10,909,921,384

Assumptions

Base FCF665,484,037
Growth Rate (5yr)3.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
51.01%
Full Kelly
25.5%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 79/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.7%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
57.98
RSI(14)
4.0396
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

74
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+8.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance +5.3% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 57.98 NEUTRAL
Macd 4.0396 BULLISH
Ma Cross 209.53 / 191.05 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.65x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High225.80
Bollinger Upper227.6
SMA(200)191.05
SMA(50)209.53
SMA(20)215.77
Current Price220.83
Bollinger Lower203.94
52-Week Low135.39
ATR(14)5.88

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.16x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.1x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.78x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.77x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.65x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 219.69 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 212.69 Base line
Senkou A 216.19 Leading span A
Senkou B 205.92 Leading span B
Cloud 205.92 – 216.19 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 220.83 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 202.95 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 203.94 – 227.6  |  KC: 207.73 – 223.82

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish MACD 4
Regular Bearish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 180.99 Anchor: 2025-09-29 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +22.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/BIIB

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap32.63B
P/E (TTM)39.22
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.73
EPS5.63

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth3.4%
Profit Margin8.3%
ROE4.6%
Debt/Equity44.33
Current Ratio1.86
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.17

Trading Data

220.83
Open
220.83
Day High
220.83
Day Low
465.1K
Volume (0.4x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —