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The Cigna Group

CI · Healthcare · · USD
282.52 USD
0.00 (-1.31%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

61
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 53
Momentum 53
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 47
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 10%
Trend & RS 53.2 10%
Momentum 53.4 5%
Fundamental 66.7 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 47.0 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 282.52
Stop Loss 269.96 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 295.08 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 307.64 (+8.9%)
ATR(14) 6.28 (2.2%)
Risk per Share 12.56
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 86.0 +1.44
Momentum 53.4 +0.14
Quality 29.3 -0.83
Composite 56.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 11.7 22.0 -47% below
P/B Ratio 1.8 4.0 Below
Dividend Yield 2.2% 1.5% Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
364.95
vs
Market Price
282.52
Upside
+29.2%
Margin of Safety +22.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)23,984,292,661
Terminal Value PV72,451,228,175
Total Enterprise Value96,435,520,836

Assumptions

Base FCF5,111,467,876
Growth Rate (5yr)6.7%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
40.23%
Full Kelly
20.11%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
51.63
RSI(14)
-0.009
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

45
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-7.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance -10.2% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 51.63 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.009 BULLISH
Ma Cross 283.45 / 277.87 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.86x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High315.47
Bollinger Upper285.47
SMA(200)277.87
SMA(50)283.45
SMA(20)279.07
Current Price282.52
Bollinger Lower272.67
52-Week Low239.51
ATR(14)6.28

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.02x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.07x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.2x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 281.20 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 275.23 Base line
Senkou A 278.22 Leading span A
Senkou B 284.27 Leading span B
Cloud 278.22 – 284.27 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 282.52 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 279.05 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 8 bars Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 272.67 – 285.47  |  KC: 270.48 – 287.65

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 8

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 275.70 Anchor: 2025-11-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +2.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/CI

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap74.65B
P/E (TTM)11.68
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.75
EPS24.18

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth6.7%
Profit Margin2.3%
ROE16.8%
Debt/Equity74.29
Current Ratio0.85
Dividend Yield2.2%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.32

Trading Data

282.52
Open
282.52
Day High
282.52
Day Low
1.11M
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

The GLP-1 Squeeze: How Soaring Healthcare Costs Are Forcing Employers to Act
Barrons.com · 2026-09-06
UnitedHealth Stock Recovered Before Its Margins Did
Trefis · 2026-09-03
CVS Stock Has Left Its Peers Behind. Or Has It?
Trefis · 2026-09-03
The Bull Case For Cigna Group (CI) Could Change Following Its New Connected Benefits Platform Launch
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-02
How Is The Cigna Group’s Stock Performance Compared to Other Healthcare Plans
Barchart · 2026-09-02
2 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stocks Worth Investigating and 1 We Turn Down
StockStory · 2026-09-02
Market Shocks Are Not Where Hims & Hers Health Stock Has Fallen Furthest
Trefis · 2026-08-31
UNH Stock Gets Cheaper Only If The Margins Come Back
Trefis · 2026-08-31

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —