The Cigna Group

CI · Healthcare · · USD

282.52 USD

0.00 (-1.31%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 53

Momentum 53

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 47

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	53.2	30%
Momentum	53.4	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	47.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	282.52
Stop Loss	269.96 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	295.08 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	307.64 (+8.9%)

ATR(14)	6.28 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	12.56
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	86.0	+1.44
Momentum	53.4	+0.14
Quality	29.3	-0.83
Composite	56.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	11.7	22.0	-47% below
P/B Ratio	1.8	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	2.2%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

364.95

Market Price

282.52

Upside

+29.2%

Margin of Safety	+22.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	23,984,292,661
Terminal Value PV	72,451,228,175
Total Enterprise Value	96,435,520,836

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,111,467,876
Growth Rate (5yr)	6.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

40.03%

Full Kelly

20.02%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.63

RSI(14)

-0.009

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-7.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-10.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.63	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.009	BULLISH
Ma Cross	283.45 / 277.87	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.86x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	315.47
Bollinger Upper	285.47
SMA(200)	277.87
SMA(50)	283.45
SMA(20)	279.07
Current Price	282.52
Bollinger Lower	272.67
52-Week Low	239.51
ATR(14)	6.28

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.07x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	281.20	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	275.23	Base line
Senkou A	278.22	Leading span A
Senkou B	284.27	Leading span B
Cloud	278.22 – 284.27	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	282.52	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	279.05	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL