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Cisco Systems, Inc.

CSCO · Technology · · USD
98.72 USD
+0.00 (2.23%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 10:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

80
/ 100
Technical 67
Trend & RS 94
Momentum 100
Fundamental 67
Macro 65
Liquidity 71
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 66.7 20%
Trend & RS 93.5 30%
Momentum 100.0 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 65.3 20%
Liquidity 70.9 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 98.72
Stop Loss 93.92 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 103.52 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 108.32 (+9.7%)
ATR(14) 2.40 (2.4%)
Risk per Share 4.80
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 25.7 -0.97
Momentum 94.0 +1.76
Quality 46.0 -0.16
Composite 55.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 35.5 28.0 +27% above
P/B Ratio 8.2 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.7% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
47.55
vs
Market Price
98.72
Upside
-51.8%
Margin of Safety -107.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)44,776,313,631
Terminal Value PV143,031,371,415
Total Enterprise Value187,807,685,046

Assumptions

Base FCF8,784,562,677
Growth Rate (5yr)9.7%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
51.34%
Full Kelly
25.67%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 80/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.8%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

4
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
75.38
RSI(14)
3.6131
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

83
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+7.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance -27.1% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 75.38 OVERBOUGHT
Macd 3.6131 BULLISH
Ma Cross 83.41 / 75.19 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger UPPER BAND
Volume 1.72x HIGH

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High98.83
Bollinger Upper98.13
SMA(200)75.19
SMA(50)83.41
SMA(20)89.73
Current Price98.72
Bollinger Lower81.33
52-Week Low60.85
ATR(14)2.4

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 0.73x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 1.46x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 0.92x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 1.33x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.72x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 92.84 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 88.92 Base line
Senkou A 90.88 Leading span A
Senkou B 86.81 Leading span B
Cloud 86.81 – 90.88 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 98.72 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 80.44 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 81.33 – 98.13  |  KC: 86.28 – 93.17

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 73.23 Anchor: 2025-05-09 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +34.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/CSCO

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap389.93B
P/E (TTM)35.51
Forward P/EN/A
P/B8.17
EPS2.78

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth9.7%
Profit Margin18.8%
ROE23.8%
Debt/Equity66.51
Current Ratio0.95
Dividend Yield1.7%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.91

Trading Data

98.72
Open
98.72
Day High
98.72
Day Low
30.26M
Volume (1.4x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —