Cisco Systems, Inc.
CSCO · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
57
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
52
Momentum
22
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
84
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 51.7 | 10% |
| Momentum | 22.1 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 84.4 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 95.72 |
| Stop Loss | 88.74 (7.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 102.70 (+7.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 109.68 (+14.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.49 (3.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.98 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 36.7 | -0.53 | |
| Momentum | 20.1 | -1.20 | |
| Quality | 49.6 | -0.02 | |
| Composite | 35.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 28.7 | 28.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 7.5 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
78.24
vs
Market Price
95.72
Upside
-18.3%
| Margin of Safety | -22.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 66,332,974,211 |
| Terminal Value PV | 242,119,708,903 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 308,452,683,114 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 10,503,051,993 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 17.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
37.57%
Full Kelly
18.78%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
30.15
RSI(14)
-2.5627
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
66
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-16.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (60d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -26.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 30.15 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -2.5627 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 109.18 / 101.42 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.09x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 130.37 |
| Bollinger Upper | 118.63 |
| SMA(200) | 101.42 |
| SMA(50) | 109.18 |
| SMA(20) | 108.02 |
| Current Price | 95.72 |
| Bollinger Lower | 97.42 |
| 52-Week Low | 70.54 |
| ATR(14) | 3.49 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.38x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.45x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.09x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 104.06 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 107.04 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 105.55 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 107.04 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 105.55 – 107.04 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 95.72 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 108.76 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 97.42 – 118.63 | KC: 102.76 – 113.28
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 96.04
Anchor: 2025-11-07 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CSCO
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 377.38B |
| P/E (TTM) | 28.74 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 7.51 |
| EPS | 3.33 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 17.6% |
| Profit Margin | 21.0% |
| ROE | 27.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 62.02 |
| Current Ratio | 0.93 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.00 |
Trading Data
95.72
Open
95.72
Day High
95.72
Day Low
37.19M
Volume (2.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)