EPAM Systems, Inc.

EPAM · Technology · · USD

87.54 USD

+0.00 (0.48%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 31

Momentum 10

Fundamental 78

Macro 71

Liquidity 27

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	31.2	30%
Momentum	9.7	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	71.2	20%
Liquidity	26.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	86.58
Stop Loss	77.34 (10.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	95.82 (+10.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	105.06 (+21.3%)

ATR(14)	4.62 (5.3%)
Risk per Share	9.24
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	87.1	+1.49
Momentum	9.7	-1.61
Quality	45.9	-0.16
Composite	47.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	12.6	28.0	-55% below
P/B Ratio	1.4	6.0	Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

95.57

Market Price

87.54

Upside

+9.2%

Margin of Safety	+8.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,381,576,563
Terminal Value PV	3,611,564,776
Total Enterprise Value	4,993,141,339

Assumptions

Base FCF	295,076,671
Growth Rate (5yr)	7.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

24.1%

Full Kelly

12.05%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.25

RSI(14)

-2.8141

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-41.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (55d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-46.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.25	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.8141	BULLISH
Ma Cross	94.78 / 149.59	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.03x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	222.53
Bollinger Upper	97.34
SMA(200)	149.59
SMA(50)	94.78
SMA(20)	84.85
Current Price	87.54
Bollinger Lower	72.37
52-Week Low	73.06
ATR(14)	4.62

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

50%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.55x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	84.41	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	87.50	Base line
Senkou A	85.95	Leading span A
Senkou B	97.37	Leading span B
Cloud	85.95 – 97.37	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	86.58	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	97.28	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL