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EPAM Systems, Inc.

EPAM · Technology · · USD
84.57 USD
0.00 (-3.12%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 18:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

29
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 30
Momentum 8
Fundamental (0%) 78
Macro 65
Liquidity 26
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 40%
Trend & RS 30.4 20%
Momentum 8.5 20%
Fundamental 77.8 0%
Macro 65.2 15%
Liquidity 26.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 83.75
Stop Loss 74.08 (11.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 93.41 (+11.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 103.06 (+23.1%)
ATR(14) 4.83 (5.8%)
Risk per Share 9.66
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 87.8 +1.51
Momentum 8.5 -1.66
Quality 45.9 -0.16
Composite 47.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 12.2 28.0 -57% below
P/B Ratio 1.3 6.0 Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
95.57
vs
Market Price
84.57
Upside
+13.0%
Margin of Safety +11.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,381,576,506
Terminal Value PV3,611,564,623
Total Enterprise Value4,993,141,129

Assumptions

Base FCF295,076,659
Growth Rate (5yr)7.6%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
14.96%
Full Kelly
7.48%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 29/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
42.63
RSI(14)
-3.0403
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-43.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (55d since high)
Sector Outperformance -48.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 42.63 NEUTRAL
Macd -3.0403 BULLISH
Ma Cross 94.72 / 149.58 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.12x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High222.53
Bollinger Upper97.18
SMA(200)149.58
SMA(50)94.72
SMA(20)84.71
Current Price84.57
Bollinger Lower72.24
52-Week Low73.06
ATR(14)4.83

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.96x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.63x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 1.54x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.85x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 Normal 0.12x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 84.41 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 87.50 Base line
Senkou A 85.95 Leading span A
Senkou B 97.37 Leading span B
Cloud 85.95 – 97.37 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 83.75 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 97.28 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 72.24 – 97.18  |  KC: 77.56 – 91.86

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 81.69 Anchor: 2026-06-22 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +2.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/EPAM

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap4.42B
P/E (TTM)12.15
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.30
EPS7.06

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth7.6%
Profit Margin7.0%
ROE10.9%
Debt/Equity8.39
Current Ratio2.67
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.43

Trading Data

84.57
Open
84.57
Day High
84.57
Day Low
197.5K
Volume (0.1x avg)

Recent News (8)

EPAM or NOW: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
Zacks · 2026-07-08
Are Investors Undervaluing EPAM Systems (EPAM) Right Now?
Zacks · 2026-07-08
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Innodata, TaskUs, Cognizant and EPAM Systems
Zacks · 2026-07-07
Is Innodata Stock Finally Worth Buying After a 33% Plunge in a Month?
Zacks · 2026-07-06
1 Oversold Stock Ready to Bounce Back and 2 We Avoid
StockStory · 2026-07-06
EPAM (EPAM) Stock Looks Cheap Even After A 85% Fall
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-01
Is EPAM (EPAM) Quietly Repositioning Its Moat Around AI Partnerships After Index Removal?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-06-30
Strength Seen in Dynatrace (DT): Can Its 7.7% Jump Turn into More Strength?
Zacks · 2026-06-29

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —