EPAM Systems, Inc.
EPAM · Technology · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
29
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
30
Momentum
8
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
65
Liquidity
26
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 30.4 | 20% |
| Momentum | 8.5 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 65.2 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 26.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 83.75 |
| Stop Loss | 74.08 (11.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 93.41 (+11.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 103.06 (+23.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.83 (5.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 9.66 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 87.8 | +1.51 | |
| Momentum | 8.5 | -1.66 | |
| Quality | 45.9 | -0.16 | |
| Composite | 47.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 12.2 | 28.0 | -57% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.3 | 6.0 | Below |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
95.57
vs
Market Price
84.57
Upside
+13.0%
| Margin of Safety | +11.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,381,576,506 |
| Terminal Value PV | 3,611,564,623 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 4,993,141,129 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 295,076,659 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.8%
Recommended Size
14.96%
Full Kelly
7.48%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 29/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
42.63
RSI(14)
-3.0403
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-43.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (55d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -48.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 42.63 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -3.0403 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 94.72 / 149.58 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.12x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 222.53 |
| Bollinger Upper | 97.18 |
| SMA(200) | 149.58 |
| SMA(50) | 94.72 |
| SMA(20) | 84.71 |
| Current Price | 84.57 |
| Bollinger Lower | 72.24 |
| 52-Week Low | 73.06 |
| ATR(14) | 4.83 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-07 | Normal | 0.63x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-08 | Normal | 1.54x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-09 | Normal | 0.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-10 | Normal | 0.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 84.41 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 87.50 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 85.95 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 97.37 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 85.95 – 97.37 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 83.75 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 97.28 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 72.24 – 97.18 | KC: 77.56 – 91.86
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 81.69
Anchor: 2026-06-22 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/EPAM
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 4.42B |
| P/E (TTM) | 12.15 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.30 |
| EPS | 7.06 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.6% |
| Profit Margin | 7.0% |
| ROE | 10.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 8.39 |
| Current Ratio | 2.67 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.43 |
Trading Data
84.57
Open
84.57
Day High
84.57
Day Low
197.5K
Volume (0.1x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)