EPAM Systems, Inc.

EPAM · Technology · · USD

117.04 USD

0.00 (-2.37%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 44

Momentum 64

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 28

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	44.0	10%
Momentum	64.2	5%
Fundamental	66.7	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	27.9	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	117.04
Stop Loss	107.08 (8.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	127.00 (+8.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	136.96 (+17.0%)

ATR(14)	4.98 (4.2%)
Risk per Share	9.96
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	81.5	+1.26
Momentum	64.2	+0.57
Quality	47.0	-0.12
Composite	64.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	15.9	28.0	-43% below
P/B Ratio	1.7	6.0	Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

87.69

Market Price

117.04

Upside

-25.1%

Margin of Safety	-33.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,307,315,380
Terminal Value PV	3,216,460,332
Total Enterprise Value	4,523,775,712

Assumptions

Base FCF	304,156,829
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.5%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

35.71%

Full Kelly

17.86%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

63.96

RSI(14)

5.4525

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+14.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 1d since high
Sector Outperformance	+25.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	63.96	NEUTRAL
Macd	5.4525	BULLISH
Ma Cross	98.46 / 138.29	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.42x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	222.53
Bollinger Upper	123.46
SMA(200)	138.29
SMA(50)	98.46
SMA(20)	108.57
Current Price	117.04
Bollinger Lower	93.68
52-Week Low	73.06
ATR(14)	4.98

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.34x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.42x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	114.30	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	104.27	Base line
Senkou A	109.28	Leading span A
Senkou B	98.33	Leading span B
Cloud	98.33 – 109.28	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	117.04	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	105.56	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH