EPAM Systems, Inc.

EPAM · Technology · · USD

83.81 USD

0.00 (-3.99%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 19:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 30

Momentum 9

Fundamental 89

Macro 71

Liquidity 26

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	29.5	10%
Momentum	8.6	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	26.4	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	84.16
Stop Loss	74.50 (11.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	93.81 (+11.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	103.47 (+23.0%)

ATR(14)	4.83 (5.7%)
Risk per Share	9.66
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	88.2	+1.53
Momentum	8.6	-1.65
Quality	45.9	-0.16
Composite	47.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 11.70 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	12.0	28.0	-57% below
P/B Ratio	1.3	6.0	Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

94.22

Market Price

83.81

Upside

+12.4%

Margin of Safety	+11.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,362,007,434
Terminal Value PV	3,560,409,322
Total Enterprise Value	4,922,416,756

Assumptions

Base FCF	290,897,103
Growth Rate (5yr)	7.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

37.7%

Full Kelly

18.85%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

43.12

RSI(14)

-3.0076

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-43.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (55d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-49.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	43.12	NEUTRAL
Macd	-3.0076	BULLISH
Ma Cross	94.73 / 149.58	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.16x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	222.53
Bollinger Upper	97.19
SMA(200)	149.58
SMA(50)	94.73
SMA(20)	84.73
Current Price	83.81
Bollinger Lower	72.27
52-Week Low	73.06
ATR(14)	4.83

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

50%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	84.41	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	87.50	Base line
Senkou A	85.95	Leading span A
Senkou B	97.37	Leading span B
Cloud	85.95 – 97.37	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	84.16	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	97.28	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH