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EPAM Systems, Inc.

EPAM · Technology · · USD
97.35 USD
0.00 (-1.89%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 11:48 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

34
/ 100
Technical 20
Trend & RS 18
Momentum 3
Fundamental 89
Macro 65
Liquidity 41
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 20.0 20%
Trend & RS 17.8 30%
Momentum 2.7 15%
Fundamental 88.9 10%
Macro 65.1 20%
Liquidity 41.2 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 97.35
Stop Loss 86.29 (11.4%)
Target 1 (1:1) 108.41 (+11.4%)
Target 2 (2:1) 119.47 (+22.7%)
ATR(14) 5.53 (5.7%)
Risk per Share 11.06
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 85.2 +1.41
Momentum 2.7 -1.89
Quality 45.9 -0.16
Composite 44.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 13.18 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 14.0 28.0 -50% below
P/B Ratio 1.5 6.0 Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
94.22
vs
Market Price
97.35
Upside
-3.2%
Margin of Safety -3.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,362,007,434
Terminal Value PV3,560,409,322
Total Enterprise Value4,922,416,756

Assumptions

Base FCF290,897,103
Growth Rate (5yr)7.6%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
19.37%
Full Kelly
9.69%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 34/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
16.67
RSI(14)
-8.6636
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

7
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-55.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -90.3% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 16.67 OVERSOLD
Macd -8.6636 BEARISH
Ma Cross 128.6 / 164.0 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.09x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High222.53
Bollinger Upper139.1
SMA(200)164.0
SMA(50)128.6
SMA(20)117.22
Current Price97.35
Bollinger Lower95.34
52-Week Low95.40
ATR(14)5.53

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 3.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 0.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 1.22x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 2.31x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 1.57x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 105.86 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 117.10 Base line
Senkou A 111.48 Leading span A
Senkou B 121.87 Leading span B
Cloud 111.48 – 121.87 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 97.35 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 137.02 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 95.34 – 139.1  |  KC: 109.28 – 125.16

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 15

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 130.10 Anchor: 2026-02-13 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -25.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/EPAM

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap5.09B
P/E (TTM)13.99
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.50
EPS6.96

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth7.6%
Profit Margin7.0%
ROE10.9%
Debt/Equity8.39
Current Ratio2.67
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.45

Trading Data

97.35
Open
97.35
Day High
97.35
Day Low
1.38M
Volume (0.9x avg)

Recent News (8)

Why Goldman Suddenly Turned Neutral on EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM)
Insider Monkey · 2026-05-11
EPAM Systems Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat · 2026-05-10
Results: EPAM Systems, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Simply Wall St. · 2026-05-09
EPAM Systems to Face Weaker Discretionary Spending Environment, Morgan Stanley Says
MT Newswires · 2026-05-08
Epam (EPAM) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
Zacks · 2026-05-08
Here Are Friday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Applied Materials, Devon Energy, Epam Systems, HubSpot, Nike, Shake Shack, Tapestry, Qualcomm, and More
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-05-08
EPAM Systems, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Moby · 2026-05-07
Guggenheim Cuts PT on EPAM Systems (EPAM) Amid Risks to Q2 Revenue Outlook
Insider Monkey · 2026-05-07

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —