EPAM Systems, Inc.
EPAM · Technology · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
74
/ 100
Technical
67
Trend & RS
96
Momentum
100
Fundamental
89
Macro
22
Liquidity
79
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 66.7 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 96.0 | 30% |
| Momentum | 100.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 79.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 165.70 |
| Stop Loss | 150.00 (9.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 181.40 (+9.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 197.10 (+18.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 7.85 (4.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 15.70 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 72.5 | +0.90 | |
| Momentum | 100.0 | +2.00 | |
| Quality | 47.7 | -0.09 | |
| Composite | 73.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
37.67
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.8 | 28.0 | -26% below |
| P/B Ratio | 2.4 | 6.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
86.40
vs
Market Price
165.70
Upside
-47.9%
| Margin of Safety | -91.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,329,817,000 |
| Terminal Value PV | 3,127,272,787 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 4,457,089,787 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 328,918,591 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
48.4%
Full Kelly
24.2%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 74/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
4
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
78.4
RSI(14)
8.769
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
89
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+75.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +64.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 78.4 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 8.769 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 120.92 / 120.64 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.91x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 222.53 |
| Bollinger Upper | 157.05 |
| SMA(200) | 120.64 |
| SMA(50) | 120.92 |
| SMA(20) | 131.76 |
| Current Price | 165.70 |
| Bollinger Lower | 106.48 |
| 52-Week Low | 73.06 |
| ATR(14) | 7.85 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 3.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.05x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.47x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Stopping Volume | 2.58x | High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 2.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 149.83 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 137.34 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 143.58 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 136.44 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 136.44 – 143.58 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 165.70 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 114.35 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 106.48 – 157.05 | KC: 120.86 – 142.67
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 105.95
Anchor: 2026-06-22 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+56.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/EPAM
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 8.55B |
| P/E (TTM) | 20.79 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.35 |
| EPS | 7.97 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.3% |
| Profit Margin | 7.5% |
| ROE | 11.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 4.07 |
| Current Ratio | 2.76 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
165.70
Open
165.70
Day High
165.70
Day Low
3.67M
Volume (3.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)