First Solar, Inc.

FSLR · Technology · · USD

204.45 USD

0.00 (-1.43%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 18

Momentum 31

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 43

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	18.2	10%
Momentum	30.9	5%
Fundamental	66.7	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	42.9	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	204.45
Stop Loss	186.51 (8.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	222.39 (+8.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	240.33 (+17.6%)

ATR(14)	8.97 (4.4%)
Risk per Share	17.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	83.0	+1.32
Momentum	30.9	-0.76
Quality	66.5	+0.66
Composite	60.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	12.6	28.0	-55% below
P/B Ratio	2.1	6.0	Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

200.11

Market Price

204.45

Upside

-2.1%

Margin of Safety	-2.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	5,735,377,009
Terminal Value PV	15,770,239,786
Total Enterprise Value	21,505,616,795

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,393,668,291
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.25%

Full Kelly

15.62%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

41.44

RSI(14)

-5.9945

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-31.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-20.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	41.44	NEUTRAL
Macd	-5.9945	BEARISH
Ma Cross	219.06 / 230.6	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.81x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	320.95
Bollinger Upper	238.83
SMA(200)	230.6
SMA(50)	219.06
SMA(20)	214.82
Current Price	204.45
Bollinger Lower	190.82
52-Week Low	182.99
ATR(14)	8.97

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.48x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	205.50	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	233.75	Base line
Senkou A	219.63	Leading span A
Senkou B	232.77	Leading span B
Cloud	219.63 – 232.77	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	204.45	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	211.03	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH