First Solar, Inc.
FSLR · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
39
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
38
Momentum
40
Fundamental (0%)
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
83
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 38.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 39.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 83.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 195.76 |
| Stop Loss | 175.52 (10.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 216.00 (+10.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 236.24 (+20.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 10.12 (5.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 20.24 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 85.4 | +1.42 | |
| Momentum | 36.1 | -0.56 | |
| Quality | 70.3 | +0.81 | |
| Composite | 63.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.3 | 28.0 | -60% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.9 | 6.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
213.44
vs
Market Price
195.76
Upside
+9.0%
| Margin of Safety | +8.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 6,118,145,714 |
| Terminal Value PV | 16,822,717,114 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 22,940,862,828 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,486,679,196 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
24.1%
Full Kelly
12.05%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
63.83
RSI(14)
0.607
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
21
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-16.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (61d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -27.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 63.83 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.607 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 187.17 / 214.85 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.35x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 320.95 |
| Bollinger Upper | 193.18 |
| SMA(200) | 214.85 |
| SMA(50) | 187.17 |
| SMA(20) | 178.44 |
| Current Price | 195.76 |
| Bollinger Lower | 163.7 |
| 52-Week Low | 165.86 |
| ATR(14) | 10.12 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
57%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 1.5 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.19x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Upthrust | 3.14x | High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust) |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 2.35x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 190.37 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 190.37 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 190.37 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 193.42 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 190.37 – 193.42 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 195.76 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 172.11 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 163.7 – 193.18 | KC: 164.69 – 192.19
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 22 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 186.77
Anchor: 2026-10-26 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+4.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/FSLR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 21.04B |
| P/E (TTM) | 11.32 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.93 |
| EPS | 17.29 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -22.8% |
| Profit Margin | 37.1% |
| ROE | 18.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 2.99 |
| Current Ratio | 2.57 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.71 |
Trading Data
195.76
Open
195.76
Day High
195.76
Day Low
6.57M
Volume (2.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)