Fortinet, Inc.
FTNT · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
56
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
68
Momentum
22
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
69
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 68.0 | 10% |
| Momentum | 22.3 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 69.1 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 122.51 |
| Stop Loss | 104.61 (14.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 140.41 (+14.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 158.31 (+29.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 8.95 (7.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 17.90 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 11.1 | -1.56 | |
| Momentum | 20.3 | -1.19 | |
| Quality | 67.8 | +0.71 | |
| Composite | 33.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 40.0 | 28.0 | +43% above |
| P/B Ratio | 40.0 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
80.45
vs
Market Price
122.51
Upside
-34.3%
| Margin of Safety | -52.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 12,272,657,455 |
| Terminal Value PV | 46,831,761,829 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 59,104,419,284 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,798,569,576 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 20.5% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
36.61%
Full Kelly
18.31%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
24.29
RSI(14)
-12.7998
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
94
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-18.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (19d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -29.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 24.29 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -12.7998 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 169.14 / 129.4 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.31x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 197.13 |
| Bollinger Upper | 214.98 |
| SMA(200) | 129.4 |
| SMA(50) | 169.14 |
| SMA(20) | 165.34 |
| Current Price | 122.51 |
| Bollinger Lower | 115.7 |
| 52-Week Low | 73.55 |
| ATR(14) | 8.95 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
64%
Sign of Weakness
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.5x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Stopping Volume | 2.07x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.31x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 154.09 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 159.50 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 156.79 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 159.50 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 156.79 – 159.50 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 122.51 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 178.72 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 115.7 – 214.98 | KC: 151.4 – 179.28
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 123.16
Anchor: 2026-01-20 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/FTNT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 90.01B |
| P/E (TTM) | 40.04 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 40.05 |
| EPS | 3.06 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 20.5% |
| Profit Margin | 29.0% |
| ROE | 1.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 24.95 |
| Current Ratio | 1.40 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.04 |
Trading Data
122.51
Open
122.51
Day High
122.51
Day Low
7.49M
Volume (1.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)