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General Dynamics Corporation

GD · Industrials · · USD
359.39 USD
0.00 (-1.77%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 19:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

62
/ 100
Technical 60
Trend & RS 64
Momentum 48
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 54
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 60.0 10%
Trend & RS 64.2 10%
Momentum 47.7 5%
Fundamental 66.7 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 53.7 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 359.39
Stop Loss 344.85 (4.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 373.93 (+4.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 388.47 (+8.1%)
ATR(14) 7.27 (2.0%)
Risk per Share 14.54
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 64.8 +0.59
Momentum 47.7 -0.09
Quality 39.6 -0.42
Composite 50.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 21.9 18.0 +22% above
P/B Ratio 3.6 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.8% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
262.32
vs
Market Price
359.39
Upside
-27.0%
Margin of Safety -37.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)17,303,162,028
Terminal Value PV53,670,361,024
Total Enterprise Value70,973,523,052

Assumptions

Base FCF3,547,545,937
Growth Rate (5yr)8.1%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
40.68%
Full Kelly
20.34%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
31.1
RSI(14)
-4.2309
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

60
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-0.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (28d since high)
Sector Outperformance +4.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 31.1 NEUTRAL
Macd -4.2309 BEARISH
Ma Cross 377.8 / 352.3 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger LOWER BAND
Volume 1.23x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High400.00
Bollinger Upper405.44
SMA(200)352.3
SMA(50)377.8
SMA(20)382.5
Current Price359.39
Bollinger Lower359.56
52-Week Low306.77
ATR(14)7.27

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
43%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 1.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.43x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.44x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.79x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.69x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.23x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 371.08 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 377.62 Base line
Senkou A 374.35 Leading span A
Senkou B 370.22 Leading span B
Cloud 370.22 – 374.35 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 359.39 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 383.42 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 359.56 – 405.44  |  KC: 372.64 – 392.36

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 20

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 359.70 Anchor: 2026-04-28 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -0.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/GD

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap97.24B
P/E (TTM)21.93
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.62
EPS16.39

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth8.1%
Profit Margin8.2%
ROE17.8%
Debt/Equity35.34
Current Ratio1.44
Dividend Yield1.8%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.32

Trading Data

359.39
Open
359.39
Day High
359.39
Day Low
1.05M
Volume (0.9x avg)

Recent News (8)

White House reviewed potential replacements for Pentagon deputy Feinberg - Reuters
Investing.com · 2026-09-05
General Dynamics (GD) Stock May Still Have Value On A 98% Run
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-05
Can the Sea-Launched Cruise Missile Program Boost GD's Growth?
Zacks · 2026-09-04
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Trefis · 2026-09-03
Jim Cramer Prefers Lockheed Martin Over General Dynamics as Defense Demand Accelerates
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-03
Should You Care That Lockheed Martin's Buyback Effect Is Fading?
Trefis · 2026-09-03
How Is General Dynamics' Stock Performance Compared to Other Aerospace & Defense Stocks?
Barchart · 2026-09-03
Ford, GM Face Off Overseas in Bids to Build British Army’s Next-Generation Vehicle
The Daily Upside · 2026-09-03

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —