General Dynamics Corporation
GD · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
56
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
61
Momentum
51
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
70
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 60.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 51.2 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 69.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 356.35 |
| Stop Loss | 339.61 (4.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 373.09 (+4.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 389.83 (+9.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 8.37 (2.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 16.74 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 66.3 | +0.65 | |
| Momentum | 51.2 | +0.05 | |
| Quality | 39.7 | -0.41 | |
| Composite | 52.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.0 | 18.0 | +16% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.5 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
331.14
vs
Market Price
356.35
Upside
-7.1%
| Margin of Safety | -7.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 20,432,229,273 |
| Terminal Value PV | 69,048,550,887 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 89,480,780,160 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,672,880,850 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 12.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
36.41%
Full Kelly
18.2%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
52.6
RSI(14)
6.2733
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
51
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-3.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (56d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -6.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 52.6 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 6.2733 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 349.24 / 352.09 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.4x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 400.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 379.74 |
| SMA(200) | 352.09 |
| SMA(50) | 349.24 |
| SMA(20) | 351.23 |
| Current Price | 356.35 |
| Bollinger Lower | 322.73 |
| 52-Week Low | 306.77 |
| ATR(14) | 8.37 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
100%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.1x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.28x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 368.70 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 353.52 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 361.11 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 353.52 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 353.52 – 361.11 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 356.35 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 331.12 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 322.73 – 379.74 | KC: 339.49 – 362.97
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 354.21
Anchor: 2026-04-28 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+0.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/GD
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 96.29B |
| P/E (TTM) | 20.97 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.52 |
| EPS | 16.99 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 12.9% |
| Profit Margin | 8.2% |
| ROE | 18.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 33.09 |
| Current Ratio | 1.43 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.30 |
Trading Data
356.35
Open
356.35
Day High
356.35
Day Low
1.93M
Volume (1.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)