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General Dynamics Corporation

GD · Industrials · · USD
357.02 USD
0.00 (-0.66%)
● Updated 2026-09-08 21:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

60
/ 100
Technical 60
Trend & RS 64
Momentum 47
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 41
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 60.0 20%
Trend & RS 63.8 30%
Momentum 47.2 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 41.2 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 356.81
Stop Loss 342.47 (4.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 371.15 (+4.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 385.49 (+8.0%)
ATR(14) 7.17 (2.0%)
Risk per Share 14.34
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 65.1 +0.60
Momentum 47.2 -0.11
Quality 39.6 -0.42
Composite 50.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 21.8 18.0 +21% above
P/B Ratio 3.6 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.8% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
262.32
vs
Market Price
357.02
Upside
-26.5%
Margin of Safety -36.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)17,303,160,551
Terminal Value PV53,670,356,443
Total Enterprise Value70,973,516,994

Assumptions

Base FCF3,547,545,634
Growth Rate (5yr)8.1%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
39.31%
Full Kelly
19.65%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
29.52
RSI(14)
-5.2358
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

59
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+1.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (29d since high)
Sector Outperformance +5.3% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 29.52 OVERSOLD
Macd -5.2358 BEARISH
Ma Cross 378.04 / 352.4 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.5x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High400.00
Bollinger Upper405.25
SMA(200)352.4
SMA(50)378.04
SMA(20)380.54
Current Price357.02
Bollinger Lower355.83
52-Week Low306.77
ATR(14)7.17

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
43%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 1.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-09-01 Normal 1.47x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.83x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.72x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.25x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-08 Normal 0.5x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 369.07 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 376.17 Base line
Senkou A 372.62 Leading span A
Senkou B 370.22 Leading span B
Cloud 370.22 – 372.62 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 356.81 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 382.43 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 355.83 – 405.25  |  KC: 370.62 – 390.46

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 21

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 359.69 Anchor: 2026-04-28 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -0.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/GD

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap96.59B
P/E (TTM)21.78
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.60
EPS16.39

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth8.1%
Profit Margin8.2%
ROE17.8%
Debt/Equity35.34
Current Ratio1.44
Dividend Yield1.8%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.32

Trading Data

357.02
Open
357.02
Day High
357.02
Day Low
418.7K
Volume (0.4x avg)

Recent News (8)

Trump Says 'No More Selling' Bombardier Jets in the US Amid Canada Trade War: 'If They Want Our Market, They Must Build Here'
Benzinga · 2026-09-08
White House reviewed potential replacements for Pentagon deputy Feinberg - Reuters
Investing.com · 2026-09-05
General Dynamics (GD) Stock May Still Have Value On A 98% Run
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-05
Can the Sea-Launched Cruise Missile Program Boost GD's Growth?
Zacks · 2026-09-04
Should You Buy Boeing Stock While It Still Loses Money On Airplanes?
Trefis · 2026-09-03
Jim Cramer Prefers Lockheed Martin Over General Dynamics as Defense Demand Accelerates
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-03
Should You Care That Lockheed Martin's Buyback Effect Is Fading?
Trefis · 2026-09-03
How Is General Dynamics' Stock Performance Compared to Other Aerospace & Defense Stocks?
Barchart · 2026-09-03

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —