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Genuine Parts Company

GPC · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
127.53 USD
+0.00 (2.62%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 19:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

60
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 72
Momentum 65
Fundamental 62
Macro 71
Liquidity 32
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 10%
Trend & RS 72.2 10%
Momentum 65.0 5%
Fundamental 61.8 40%
Macro 71.2 15%
Liquidity 32.5 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 127.32
Stop Loss 118.90 (6.6%)
Target 1 (1:1) 135.74 (+6.6%)
Target 2 (2:1) 144.16 (+13.2%)
ATR(14) 4.21 (3.3%)
Risk per Share 8.42
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 43.4 -0.26
Momentum 65.0 +0.60
Quality 20.0 -1.20
Composite 42.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 3.40 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 296.6 18.0 +1548% above
P/B Ratio 3.9 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 3.4% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
6.52
vs
Market Price
127.53
Upside
-94.9%
Margin of Safety -1856.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)222,760,995
Terminal Value PV674,199,808
Total Enterprise Value896,960,803

Assumptions

Base FCF47,342,843
Growth Rate (5yr)6.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
39.38%
Full Kelly
19.69%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
69.15
RSI(14)
6.6834
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

55
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+6.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance +19.2% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 69.15 NEUTRAL
Macd 6.6834 BULLISH
Ma Cross 105.78 / 119.15 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.2x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High151.57
Bollinger Upper134.62
SMA(200)119.15
SMA(50)105.78
SMA(20)115.14
Current Price127.53
Bollinger Lower95.66
52-Week Low90.78
ATR(14)4.21

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 1.63x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.99x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.83x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.9x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.2x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 124.91 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 115.75 Base line
Senkou A 120.33 Leading span A
Senkou B 113.11 Leading span B
Cloud 113.11 – 120.33 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 127.32 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 98.28 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 95.66 – 134.62  |  KC: 108.55 – 121.74

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 23

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 109.55 Anchor: 2026-05-20 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +16.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/GPC

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap17.74B
P/E (TTM)296.58
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.92
EPS0.43

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth6.8%
Profit Margin0.2%
ROE1.3%
Debt/Equity149.45
Current Ratio1.09
Dividend Yield3.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.64

Trading Data

127.53
Open
127.53
Day High
127.53
Day Low
413.9K
Volume (0.2x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —